Monthly outlook for Motleys Mill, VA: average high 64.6°, average low 46.7°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (74.8°), the coolest 12 November (39.6°).
64.6°/46.7°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
65°
59.7°
+2.9°
14 November – 23 November
64.1°
55.9°
+4.5°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
53.9°
—
November records over 66 years
82.6°9 November 2023All-time high
17.2°26 November 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gretna (9 mi).
Thu, 0575° / 58°0.04
75 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 75°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Fri, 0672° / 56°0.02
72 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Sat, 0761° / 49°0
61 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 0865° / 44°0
65 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0964° / 46°0
64 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1057° / 47°0.04
57 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 1167° / 48°0.01
67 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.4 mph N
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1253° / 40°0
53 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1360° / 42°0
60 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1463° / 42°0
63 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1566° / 43°0
66 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 66°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1661° / 48°0
61 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1763° / 44°0
63 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.3 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1865° / 44°0
65 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1966° / 45°0.01
66 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2056° / 40°0.06
56 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low28° (2021)
Sat, 2154° / 39°0.12
54 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2255° / 39°0.11
55 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low25° (2000)
Mon, 2354° / 38°0.07
54 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2010)
Record low25° (1970)
Tue, 2455° / 38°0.15
55 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Wed, 2555° / 38°0.07
55 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Thu, 2656° / 39°0.15
56 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low17° (1971)
Fri, 2755° / 40°0.15
55 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1985)
Record low24° (1977)
Sat, 2855° / 40°0.12
55 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (2001)
Record low27° (1996)
Sun, 2953° / 37°0.13
53 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3052° / 38°0.14
52 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 0152° / 37°0.13
52 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low22° (1976)
Wed, 0253° / 36°0.08
53 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low26° (1964)
Thu, 0352° / 37°0.09
52 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low25° (1979)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Motleys Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Motleys Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.