Monthly outlook for Motleys Mill, VA: average high 55.1°, average low 36.5°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (65°), the coolest 25 November (24.7°).
55.1°/36.5°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
57.8°
55.9°
+1°
24 November – 3 December
50.7°
53.9°
-1.7°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
49.8°
—
November records over 66 years
82.6°9 November 2023All-time high
17.2°26 November 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gretna (9 mi).
Sun, 1553° / 40°0
53 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1654° / 39°0
54 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.1 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Tue, 1757° / 34°0
57 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind0.1 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 1862° / 36°0
62 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1965° / 37°0
65 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2061° / 43°0
61 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 2163° / 40°0
63 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 63°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2264° / 43°0
64 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 2349° / 35°0
49 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2438° / 25°0
38 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 25°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Wed, 2544° / 25°0
44 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 44°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Thu, 2650° / 27°0
50 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 27°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Fri, 2757° / 37°0
57 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.1 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 2857° / 37°0.46
57 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2959° / 47°0.04
59 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3052° / 38°0.14
52 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 0152° / 37°0.13
52 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low22° (1976)
Wed, 0253° / 36°0.08
53 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1991)
Record low26° (1964)
Thu, 0352° / 37°0.09
52 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low25° (1979)
Fri, 0451° / 36°0.1
51 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low22° (2024)
Sat, 0550° / 36°0.17
50 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low23° (2002)
Sun, 0651° / 35°0.09
51 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low23° (2024)
Mon, 0750° / 34°0.13
50 °
Motleys Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low13° (2002)
Tue, 0849° / 34°0.1
49 °
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low17° (1995)
Wed, 0949° / 34°0.18
49 °
Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low17° (2025)
Thu, 1050° / 36°0.19
50 °
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high73° (2007)
Record low16° (1995)
Fri, 1149° / 35°0.14
49 °
Motleys Mill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low19° (1962)
Sat, 1249° / 35°0.1
49 °
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (2007)
Record low10° (1962)
Sun, 1349° / 34°0.12
49 °
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low9° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Motleys Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Motleys Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.