Weather in Motleys Mill, VA
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 10 November, 16:21
Clear. Feels like 69°. High 71°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Motleys Mill, VA: average high 59.4°, average low 40.2°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (72°), the coolest 17 November (32.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 November – 19 November | 57.8° | 57.4° | +0.2° |
| 20 November – 29 November | 62.1° | 54.8° | +4° |
| 30 November – 9 December | at normal | 50.9° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gretna (9 mi).
0Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 72°, low 42°.
0
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 48°.
0Motleys Mill, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
0Motleys Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 49°, low 38°.
0Motleys Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 50°, low 34°.
0Motleys Mill, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
0Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 56°, low 33°.
0Motleys Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 58°, low 34°.
0Motleys Mill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 36°.
0Motleys Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 63°, low 37°.
0.02
Motleys Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 54°.
0.34Motleys Mill, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 68°, low 58°.
0Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 47°.
0Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
0.15
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Motleys Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Motleys Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Motleys Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Motleys Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Motleys Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Motleys Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Motleys Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Motleys Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Motleys Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Motleys Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Motleys Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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