Weather in Motleys Mill, VA
Motleys Mill, Saturday, 31 October, 21:57
Overcast. Feels like 54°. High 66°, low 47°.
Monthly outlook for Motleys Mill, VA: average high 62.8°, average low 47.4°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (73.4°), the coolest 12 November (38.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 66.8° | 62° | +2.7° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 56.1° | 57.4° | -0.7° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 54.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gretna (9 mi).
0Motleys Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 44°.
0Motleys Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 41°.
0
Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 71°, low 46°.
0Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 52°.
0.26
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 62°.
0.31Motleys Mill, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 70°, low 59°.
0Motleys Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 55°.
0.02Motleys Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 47°.
0
Motleys Mill, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 42°.
0Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
0Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 41°.
0Motleys Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 38°.
0.46Motleys Mill, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0.77Motleys Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 59°, low 50°.
0Motleys Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 47°.
0.1
Motleys Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Motleys Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Motleys Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Motleys Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Motleys Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Motleys Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Motleys Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Motleys Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Motleys Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Motleys Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Motleys Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Motleys Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Motleys Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Motleys Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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