Monthly outlook for Mill Creek, VA: average high 60.3°, average low 43.2°. That is 1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (75.6°), the coolest 19 October (25.6°).
60.3°/43.2°
Average high / low
−1°
Below normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
62.7°
63.2°
-0.3°
20 October – 29 October
56.4°
59.7°
-1.9°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
56.9°
—
October records over 66 years
85.5°3 October 2019All-time high
25°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jefferson (14 mi).
Sun, 1165° / 47°1.12
65 °
Mill Creek, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility1.9 mi
Dew point63°
Mon, 1270° / 59°0.28
70 °
Mill Creek, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility4.2 mi
Dew point57°
Tue, 1375° / 60°0
75 °
Mill Creek, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 75°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Wed, 1476° / 63°0
76 °
Mill Creek, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 76°, low 63°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.3 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Thu, 1572° / 61°0.06
72 °
Mill Creek, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 61°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.8 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Fri, 1672° / 57°0.08
72 °
Mill Creek, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.3 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1765° / 39°0.16
65 °
Mill Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 1835° / 28°0.03
35 °
Mill Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Snow. High 35°, low 28°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1943° / 26°0.01
43 °
Mill Creek, Monday, 19 October
Light snow. High 43°, low 26°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Tue, 2057° / 26°0
57 °
Mill Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 57°, low 26°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Wed, 2158° / 33°0
58 °
Mill Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2256° / 32°0
56 °
Mill Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 56°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2352° / 36°0
52 °
Mill Creek, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2459° / 36°0.02
59 °
Mill Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2556° / 42°0.04
56 °
Mill Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.7 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2659° / 44°0.16
59 °
Mill Creek, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1963)
Record low25° (1962)
Tue, 2759° / 43°0.17
59 °
Mill Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2014)
Record low25° (1962)
Wed, 2859° / 44°0.11
59 °
Mill Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low26° (1976)
Thu, 2958° / 42°0.14
58 °
Mill Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low28° (2017)
Fri, 3059° / 41°0.11
59 °
Mill Creek, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (2004)
Record low25° (2017)
Sat, 3159° / 43°0.09
59 °
Mill Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low30° (1993)
Sun, 0159° / 44°0.08
59 °
Mill Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (2004)
Record low22° (2023)
Mon, 0258° / 43°0.17
58 °
Mill Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low23° (2023)
Tue, 0357° / 41°0.05
57 °
Mill Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low26° (1996)
Wed, 0455° / 40°0.12
55 °
Mill Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (2003)
Record low25° (1966)
Thu, 0554° / 40°0.13
54 °
Mill Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low24° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 39°0.07
56 °
Mill Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low24° (1967)
Sat, 0756° / 40°0.11
56 °
Mill Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low24° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 38°0.07
55 °
Mill Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low23° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mill Creek, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mill Creek, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.