Weather in Mill Creek, VA
Mill Creek, Friday, 9 October, 18:16
Overcast. Feels like 62°. High 64°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Mill Creek, VA: average high 63.4°, average low 42.9°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (76.5°), the coolest 19 October (26.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 October – 18 October | 65.9° | 63.6° | +1.3° |
| 19 October – 28 October | 59.3° | 60° | -0.4° |
| 29 October – 7 November | at normal | 57.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jefferson (14 mi).
1.01
Mill Creek, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 55°, low 45°.
0.52Mill Creek, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 69°, low 49°.
0.38Mill Creek, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 71°, low 59°.
0
Mill Creek, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 74°, low 62°.
0Mill Creek, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 76°, low 64°.
0.04Mill Creek, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 51°.
0.03Mill Creek, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 51°.
0.09Mill Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 30°.
0Mill Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 46°, low 29°.
0Mill Creek, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 26°.
0Mill Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 29°.
0Mill Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 32°.
0Mill Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 35°.
0Mill Creek, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 64°, low 39°.
0Mill Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 67°, low 42°.
0.21
Mill Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16
Mill Creek, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Mill Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mill Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mill Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mill Creek, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mill Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mill Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Mill Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Mill Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mill Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mill Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mill Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mill Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mill Creek, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mill Creek, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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