Weather in Melrose, VA
Melrose, Sunday, 11 October, 23:44
Light rain. Feels like 57°. High 61°, low 57°.
Monthly outlook for Melrose, VA: average high 63.6°, average low 45.9°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (83.2°), the coolest 18 October (28.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 67.4° | 65.9° | +0.9° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 57.3° | 62.3° | -2.8° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 59.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shenandoah (10 mi).
0.02Melrose, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 56°.
0
Melrose, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 78°, low 54°.
0
Melrose, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 83°, low 63°.
0.08Melrose, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 60°.
0.01Melrose, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 53°.
0Melrose, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 33°.
0Melrose, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 29°.
0Melrose, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 36°.
0
Melrose, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 44°.
0Melrose, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
0.05Melrose, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 47°.
1.25Melrose, Friday, 23 October
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 44°.
0Melrose, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 41°.
0Melrose, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 34°.
0.15Melrose, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
0.13
Melrose, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Melrose, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Melrose, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Melrose, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Melrose, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Melrose, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Melrose, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Melrose, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Melrose, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Melrose, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Melrose, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Melrose, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Melrose, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Melrose, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Melrose, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Melrose, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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