Monthly outlook for Lake Smith, VA: average high 64.8°, average low 56.9°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (68.1°), the coolest 22 October (43.7°).
64.8°/56.9°
Average high / low
−0.5°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
64.2°
66.3°
-1.1°
31 October – 9 November
65.7°
63.8°
+1.1°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
59.7°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°4 October 1986All-time high
34.5°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Norfolk (5 mi).
Thu, 2268° / 44°0
68 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 2363° / 46°0.01
63 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 2462° / 57°0
62 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 57°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 2563° / 58°0
63 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 58°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind15 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 2662° / 56°0
62 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 62°, low 56°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2761° / 55°0
61 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 2864° / 59°0
64 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 59°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.9 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 2967° / 62°0
67 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 62°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 3066° / 60°0
66 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sat, 3161° / 59°0
61 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 59°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind20.4 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 0165° / 61°0.02
65 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 61°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind15 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 0267° / 64°0.08
67 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 64°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16.1 mph E
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 0367° / 64°0.61
67 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 67°, low 64°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind26.9 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 0467° / 61°0.95
67 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 61°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind21.9 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Thu, 0568° / 58°0
68 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0663° / 50°0.08
63 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2022)
Record low33° (1991)
Sat, 0763° / 49°0.11
63 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low34° (1962)
Sun, 0861° / 48°0.07
61 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (1986)
Record low35° (1967)
Mon, 0962° / 48°0.07
62 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1986)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 1063° / 49°0.12
63 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low34° (1995)
Wed, 1161° / 49°0.13
61 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2020)
Record low35° (1987)
Thu, 1260° / 47°0.24
60 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low33° (1987)
Fri, 1358° / 45°0.14
58 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1985)
Record low31° (2019)
Sat, 1458° / 45°0.07
58 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low29° (2019)
Sun, 1560° / 46°0.11
60 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1993)
Record low32° (1969)
Mon, 1660° / 46°0.07
60 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2011)
Record low30° (1967)
Tue, 1759° / 45°0.09
59 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low30° (1967)
Wed, 1859° / 44°0.02
59 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (2021)
Record low33° (1997)
Thu, 1959° / 44°0.09
59 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1964)
Record low27° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Smith, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Smith, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.