Monthly outlook for Lake Smith, VA: average high 66.1°, average low 59.2°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (85.9°), the coolest 18 October (51.5°).
66.1°/59.2°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
66.4°
68.3°
-1.1°
25 October – 3 November
65.5°
65.5°
-0°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
61.8°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°4 October 1986All-time high
34.5°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Norfolk (5 mi).
Fri, 1686° / 63°0
86 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 86°, low 63°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1768° / 55°0.69
68 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind20 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility4.1 mi
Dew point53°
Sun, 1859° / 51°0
59 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 1961° / 56°0
61 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 2065° / 59°0
65 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.3 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 2162° / 59°0.32
62 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind26.1 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2262° / 61°0.13
62 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 61°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind26.8 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2364° / 62°0.08
64 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 62°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind24.4 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 2465° / 61°0
65 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 61°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind23.3 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 2565° / 62°0.06
65 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 62°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind23 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 2664° / 61°0.04
64 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 61°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind21.4 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 2765° / 57°0
65 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2868° / 59°0
68 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2971° / 60°0.13
71 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 60°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 3060° / 55°0.03
60 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind20.2 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3165° / 52°0.07
65 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high82° (2019)
Record low37° (2008)
Sun, 0166° / 53°0.15
66 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low38° (1975)
Mon, 0266° / 53°0.18
66 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2004)
Record low40° (1993)
Tue, 0365° / 51°0.11
65 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low38° (2023)
Wed, 0464° / 50°0.15
64 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high78° (1974)
Record low36° (1996)
Thu, 0563° / 51°0.11
63 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high80° (2003)
Record low36° (1966)
Fri, 0663° / 50°0.08
63 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2022)
Record low33° (1991)
Sat, 0763° / 49°0.11
63 °
Lake Smith, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low34° (1962)
Sun, 0861° / 48°0.07
61 °
Lake Smith, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (1986)
Record low35° (1967)
Mon, 0962° / 48°0.07
62 °
Lake Smith, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1986)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 1063° / 49°0.12
63 °
Lake Smith, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low34° (1995)
Wed, 1161° / 49°0.13
61 °
Lake Smith, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (2020)
Record low35° (1987)
Thu, 1260° / 47°0.24
60 °
Lake Smith, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low33° (1987)
Fri, 1358° / 45°0.14
58 °
Lake Smith, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1985)
Record low31° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Smith, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Smith, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.