Monthly outlook for Smithville, VA: average high 68.3°, average low 57°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84.7°), the coolest 18 October (49.4°).
68.3°/57°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
70°
65.5°
+2.5°
24 October – 2 November
65.5°
62.8°
+1.5°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
59.6°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°2 October 2019All-time high
39.7°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Willis Wharf (10 mi).
Thu, 1571° / 62°0.17
71 °
Smithville, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 71°, low 62°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 1677° / 63°0
77 °
Smithville, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 77°, low 63°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1772° / 57°0.2
72 °
Smithville, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 57°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind27.6 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 1857° / 49°0
57 °
Smithville, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind15.5 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 1964° / 55°0
64 °
Smithville, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 55°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 2070° / 60°0
70 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 60°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 2169° / 60°0
69 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 60°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2269° / 59°0
69 °
Smithville, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 69°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 2366° / 54°0
66 °
Smithville, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind20.9 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2463° / 52°0
63 °
Smithville, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2573° / 56°0.13
73 °
Smithville, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind27.7 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 2657° / 53°0
57 °
Smithville, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind21.3 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2764° / 52°0
64 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2867° / 56°0
67 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.2 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2968° / 58°0.69
68 °
Smithville, Thursday, 29 October
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind23.7 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3061° / 54°0.08
61 °
Smithville, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low41° (1965)
Sat, 3162° / 55°0.07
62 °
Smithville, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Sun, 0163° / 56°0.13
63 °
Smithville, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low44° (1975)
Mon, 0262° / 56°0.16
62 °
Smithville, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1971)
Record low42° (2020)
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.11
62 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2017)
Record low42° (2006)
Wed, 0461° / 53°0.13
61 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low40° (1966)
Thu, 0561° / 53°0.13
61 °
Smithville, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low40° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 52°0.11
60 °
Smithville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low37° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 52°0.1
60 °
Smithville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low42° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 51°0.07
59 °
Smithville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low39° (1976)
Mon, 0959° / 51°0.07
59 °
Smithville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low34° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 51°0.15
60 °
Smithville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low38° (1995)
Wed, 1158° / 51°0.13
58 °
Smithville, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1258° / 49°0.25
58 °
Smithville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low33° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smithville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smithville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.