Weather in Smiths Mill, VA
Smiths Mill, Sunday, 11 October, 18:25
Overcast. Feels like 64°. High 65°, low 62°.
Monthly outlook for Smiths Mill, VA: average high 69.9°, average low 51.8°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (85.4°), the coolest 18 October (32.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 69.9° | 67.7° | +1.2° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 70° | 64.2° | +3.2° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 61.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Spotsylvania Courthouse (4 mi).
0.9
Smiths Mill, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 73°, low 60°.
0
Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 81°, low 56°.
0.05Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 64°.
0Smiths Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 64°.
0.07Smiths Mill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 59°.
0Smiths Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
0Smiths Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
0Smiths Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 35°.
0Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 46°.
0.01Smiths Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 51°.
0
Smiths Mill, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 51°.
0Smiths Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 75°, low 57°.
0Smiths Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 79°, low 59°.
0Smiths Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 67°, low 51°.
0.13Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Smiths Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Smiths Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Smiths Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Smiths Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Smiths Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Smiths Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Smiths Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Smiths Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Smiths Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Smiths Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smiths Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smiths Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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