Weather in Smiths Mill, VA
Smiths Mill, Saturday, 10 October, 04:26
Overcast. Feels like 53°. High 68°, low 54°.
Monthly outlook for Smiths Mill, VA: average high 70.6°, average low 52.6°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84.8°), the coolest 19 October (35.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October – 19 October | 72.1° | 68.1° | +2.2° |
| 20 October – 29 October | 68° | 64.5° | +1.9° |
| 30 October – 8 November | at normal | 61.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Spotsylvania Courthouse (4 mi).
1.33
Smiths Mill, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 56°.
0.26Smiths Mill, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 75°, low 63°.
0
Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 58°.
0.11Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 65°.
0Smiths Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 68°, low 55°.
0.25Smiths Mill, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 80°, low 55°.
0.48Smiths Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 76°, low 55°.
0.2Smiths Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
0Smiths Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
0Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
0Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
0Smiths Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 52°.
0.89Smiths Mill, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 68°, low 58°.
0
Smiths Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 52°.
0Smiths Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 55°.
0.16Smiths Mill, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Smiths Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Smiths Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Smiths Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Smiths Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Smiths Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Smiths Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Smiths Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Smiths Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Smiths Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Smiths Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Smiths Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smiths Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smiths Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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