Monthly outlook for Middle Falls, NY: average high 56.1°, average low 37.7°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (70.9°), the coolest 19 October (27.8°).
56.1°/37.7°
Average high / low
−0.5°
Below normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
59.2°
58.2°
+0.5°
21 October – 30 October
51°
54.1°
-1.8°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
50.9°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°7 October 1963All-time high
23.9°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (12 mi).
Mon, 1271° / 44°0.09
71 °
Middle Falls, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 71°, low 44°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind2 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 1370° / 53°0.01
70 °
Middle Falls, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 53°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility3.3 mi
Dew point56°
Wed, 1470° / 59°0.04
70 °
Middle Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Thu, 1557° / 43°0
57 °
Middle Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1662° / 41°0.28
62 °
Middle Falls, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1760° / 36°1.01
60 °
Middle Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 60°, low 36°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.4 mph N
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 1844° / 30°0
44 °
Middle Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind15.9 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1948° / 28°0
48 °
Middle Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 48°, low 28°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2051° / 30°0
51 °
Middle Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2154° / 32°0
54 °
Middle Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 54°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2259° / 39°0
59 °
Middle Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 2356° / 40°0.04
56 °
Middle Falls, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2444° / 31°0
44 °
Middle Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2546° / 28°0
46 °
Middle Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 2647° / 29°0
47 °
Middle Falls, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2754° / 40°0.19
54 °
Middle Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low27° (1976)
Wed, 2853° / 39°0.2
53 °
Middle Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (1984)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 37°0.14
52 °
Middle Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high67° (1989)
Record low28° (1969)
Fri, 3052° / 37°0.1
52 °
Middle Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (2024)
Record low29° (2002)
Sat, 3153° / 37°0.11
53 °
Middle Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low24° (2020)
Sun, 0153° / 39°0.13
53 °
Middle Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low28° (2020)
Mon, 0253° / 39°0.15
53 °
Middle Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1982)
Record low25° (1965)
Tue, 0352° / 38°0.15
52 °
Middle Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low27° (2002)
Wed, 0451° / 37°0.09
51 °
Middle Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1994)
Record low27° (2013)
Thu, 0551° / 37°0.15
51 °
Middle Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 0651° / 38°0.12
51 °
Middle Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low26° (2012)
Sat, 0749° / 36°0.07
49 °
Middle Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low22° (2002)
Sun, 0848° / 35°0.13
48 °
Middle Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low21° (2002)
Mon, 0948° / 35°0.14
48 °
Middle Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low22° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Middle Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Middle Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.