Monthly outlook for Smithtown, NY: average high 64.5°, average low 54.3°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 October (72.3°), the coolest 7 October (44.9°).
64.5°/54.3°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
66.1°
63.6°
+1.4°
17 October – 26 October
61.7°
60°
+1°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
57.2°
—
October records over 66 years
89.6°2 October 2019All-time high
32.7°27 October 1976All-time low
Thu, 0872° / 52°0.01
72 °
Smithtown, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Fri, 0967° / 56°0
67 °
Smithtown, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sat, 1068° / 56°0
68 °
Smithtown, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 56°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 1169° / 62°0.24
69 °
Smithtown, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 62°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.7 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Mon, 1272° / 65°0.86
72 °
Smithtown, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 72°, low 65°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Tue, 1369° / 53°0.36
69 °
Smithtown, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.8 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 1459° / 50°0.02
59 °
Smithtown, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1560° / 51°0
60 °
Smithtown, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.5 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1661° / 53°0.06
61 °
Smithtown, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 1762° / 58°0.1
62 °
Smithtown, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sun, 1858° / 52°0
58 °
Smithtown, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 1960° / 49°0
60 °
Smithtown, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2063° / 55°0
63 °
Smithtown, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2163° / 56°0
63 °
Smithtown, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2264° / 57°0
64 °
Smithtown, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2359° / 50°0.07
59 °
Smithtown, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low34° (1969)
Sat, 2460° / 50°0.13
60 °
Smithtown, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low34° (1969)
Sun, 2560° / 50°0.14
60 °
Smithtown, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low39° (1962)
Mon, 2658° / 49°0.16
58 °
Smithtown, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low37° (1962)
Tue, 2758° / 49°0.16
58 °
Smithtown, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low33° (1976)
Wed, 2858° / 48°0.17
58 °
Smithtown, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low34° (1976)
Thu, 2957° / 47°0.19
57 °
Smithtown, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1984)
Record low34° (1965)
Fri, 3056° / 46°0.11
56 °
Smithtown, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low36° (2011)
Sat, 3157° / 47°0.06
57 °
Smithtown, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low35° (2020)
Sun, 0158° / 49°0.13
58 °
Smithtown, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low38° (1976)
Mon, 0258° / 48°0.07
58 °
Smithtown, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1971)
Record low32° (1965)
Tue, 0358° / 47°0.11
58 °
Smithtown, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low37° (1996)
Wed, 0456° / 46°0.06
56 °
Smithtown, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low36° (2013)
Thu, 0556° / 47°0.13
56 °
Smithtown, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low37° (1965)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smithtown, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smithtown, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.