Monthly outlook for Shelter Island, NY: average high 78.4°, average low 69.3°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 August (88.2°), the coolest 17 August (65.5°).
78.4°/69.3°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
79°
74.7°
+2.4°
19 August – 28 August
77.5°
73.5°
+2.2°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
72.4°
—
August records over 66 years
86.9°30 August 2018All-time high
52.5°29 August 1982All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sag Harbor (5 mi).
Mon, 1086° / 69°0.23
86 °
Shelter Island, Monday, 10 August
Heavy rain. High 86°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind1 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1181° / 71°0
81 °
Shelter Island, Tuesday, 11 August
Overcast. High 81°, low 71°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.2 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Wed, 1279° / 69°0.01
79 °
Shelter Island, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 79°, low 69°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Thu, 1380° / 68°0
80 °
Shelter Island, Thursday, 13 August
Clear. High 80°, low 68°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Fri, 1470° / 67°0
70 °
Shelter Island, Friday, 14 August
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 67°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 1575° / 66°0
75 °
Shelter Island, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 75°, low 66°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 1676° / 70°0.44
76 °
Shelter Island, Sunday, 16 August
Rain. High 76°, low 70°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind29.7 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Mon, 1777° / 66°0.11
77 °
Shelter Island, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 66°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind22.3 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 1878° / 68°0
78 °
Shelter Island, Tuesday, 18 August
Partly cloudy. High 78°, low 68°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17.2 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 1980° / 72°0.34
80 °
Shelter Island, Wednesday, 19 August
Rain. High 80°, low 72°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind20.7 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Thu, 2078° / 68°0
78 °
Shelter Island, Thursday, 20 August
Partly cloudy. High 78°, low 68°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2179° / 73°0.06
79 °
Shelter Island, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 79°, low 73°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sat, 2274° / 70°0
74 °
Shelter Island, Saturday, 22 August
Overcast. High 74°, low 70°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sun, 2374° / 69°0
74 °
Shelter Island, Sunday, 23 August
Clear. High 74°, low 69°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.6 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Mon, 2480° / 70°0.04
80 °
Shelter Island, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 80°, low 70°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.7 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2573° / 67°0.1
73 °
Shelter Island, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high87° (2020)
Record low57° (1963)
Wed, 2673° / 68°0.06
73 °
Shelter Island, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high83° (2021)
Record low59° (1963)
Thu, 2774° / 68°0.09
74 °
Shelter Island, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high84° (2020)
Record low59° (1969)
Fri, 2873° / 68°0.16
73 °
Shelter Island, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high86° (2024)
Record low58° (1986)
Sat, 2973° / 67°0.17
73 °
Shelter Island, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (2018)
Record low53° (1982)
Sun, 3073° / 67°0.1
73 °
Shelter Island, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high87° (2018)
Record low55° (1965)
Mon, 3173° / 67°0.06
73 °
Shelter Island, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high82° (2022)
Record low56° (1976)
Tue, 0172° / 66°0.07
72 °
Shelter Island, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (2022)
Record low56° (2017)
Wed, 0272° / 66°0.21
72 °
Shelter Island, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (1966)
Record low57° (1967)
Thu, 0372° / 66°0.1
72 °
Shelter Island, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (2020)
Record low58° (1976)
Fri, 0473° / 66°0.14
73 °
Shelter Island, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low56° (1997)
Sat, 0572° / 66°0.05
72 °
Shelter Island, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high89° (2023)
Record low56° (2000)
Sun, 0672° / 65°0.12
72 °
Shelter Island, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high87° (2023)
Record low56° (1962)
Mon, 0772° / 65°0.1
72 °
Shelter Island, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high88° (2023)
Record low57° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelter Island, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelter Island, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.