Monthly outlook for Ava, NY: average high 57°, average low 42.3°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (67.4°), the coolest 14 October (33.2°).
57°/42.3°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
8 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
59.2°
57.6°
+0.9°
17 October – 26 October
53.2°
53.1°
+0°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
49.9°
—
October records over 66 years
81.7°4 October 2023All-time high
20.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (9 mi).
Thu, 0860° / 42°0.38
60 °
Ava, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.4 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 0954° / 41°0.08
54 °
Ava, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility4.1 mi
Dew point42°
Sat, 1062° / 42°0
62 °
Ava, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 1167° / 49°0.06
67 °
Ava, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 1265° / 56°0.2
65 °
Ava, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 1360° / 44°1.34
60 °
Ava, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind14.7 mph W
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 1440° / 33°0.03
40 °
Ava, Wednesday, 14 October
Snow. High 40°, low 33°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1555° / 34°0
55 °
Ava, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1664° / 40°0
64 °
Ava, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 1766° / 51°0
66 °
Ava, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 1858° / 49°0
58 °
Ava, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.8 mph W
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 1950° / 46°0.08
50 °
Ava, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 2051° / 41°0.05
51 °
Ava, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.8 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2145° / 36°0.05
45 °
Ava, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.4 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2249° / 35°0
49 °
Ava, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.6 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2353° / 39°0.17
53 °
Ava, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low22° (1969)
Sat, 2453° / 39°0.17
53 °
Ava, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (1963)
Record low24° (1969)
Sun, 2553° / 39°0.16
53 °
Ava, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low26° (1962)
Mon, 2651° / 39°0.15
51 °
Ava, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1963)
Record low25° (2018)
Tue, 2751° / 38°0.19
51 °
Ava, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 2851° / 37°0.19
51 °
Ava, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1984)
Record low23° (1976)
Thu, 2949° / 36°0.11
49 °
Ava, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low25° (2013)
Fri, 3050° / 36°0.12
50 °
Ava, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low24° (2008)
Sat, 3151° / 36°0.13
51 °
Ava, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low21° (2020)
Sun, 0151° / 37°0.2
51 °
Ava, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2024)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0250° / 37°0.23
50 °
Ava, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low22° (1965)
Tue, 0350° / 36°0.15
50 °
Ava, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high68° (1982)
Record low17° (2020)
Wed, 0448° / 35°0.16
48 °
Ava, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (2015)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 0548° / 36°0.17
48 °
Ava, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low19° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ava, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ava, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.