Monthly outlook for Amherst, NY: average high 62.6°, average low 50.4°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (73.1°), the coolest 17 October (38.8°).
62.6°/50.4°
Average high / low
+3°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
62°
58.2°
+2.1°
22 October – 31 October
63.5°
54.6°
+5°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
51.4°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°5 October 2007All-time high
27°31 October 2020All-time low
Tue, 1373° / 63°0.23
73 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 73°, low 63°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.4 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1467° / 56°0.01
67 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 1557° / 47°0.02
57 °
Amherst, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.9 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 1657° / 45°0.43
57 °
Amherst, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sat, 1749° / 39°0.05
49 °
Amherst, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind18.8 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1856° / 45°0
56 °
Amherst, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1964° / 44°0
64 °
Amherst, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2063° / 50°0
63 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2166° / 49°0
66 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2267° / 51°0
67 °
Amherst, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2365° / 58°0
65 °
Amherst, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.9 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 2472° / 60°0.38
72 °
Amherst, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 72°, low 60°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 2558° / 51°0.16
58 °
Amherst, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.6 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 2657° / 48°0
57 °
Amherst, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2762° / 45°0
62 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2853° / 42°0.09
53 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (2014)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.1
52 °
Amherst, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1971)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.1
53 °
Amherst, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low30° (1969)
Sat, 3155° / 42°0.13
55 °
Amherst, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low27° (2020)
Sun, 0155° / 43°0.12
55 °
Amherst, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low31° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.18
54 °
Amherst, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Tue, 0353° / 41°0.1
53 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1961)
Record low30° (2013)
Wed, 0451° / 40°0.11
51 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0552° / 41°0.12
52 °
Amherst, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Amherst, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low28° (1991)
Sat, 0749° / 39°0.1
49 °
Amherst, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low28° (2002)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.08
49 °
Amherst, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1996)
Record low23° (2019)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.09
50 °
Amherst, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (1991)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low17° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Amherst, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Amherst, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.