Monthly outlook for Amherst, NY: average high 54.9°, average low 43.7°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (66.6°), the coolest 24 October (37.6°).
54.9°/43.7°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
8 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
59°
57.1°
+1°
24 October – 2 November
48°
54.2°
-3.4°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
49.9°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°5 October 2007All-time high
27°31 October 2020All-time low
Thu, 1561° / 48°0.06
61 °
Amherst, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.3 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Fri, 1666° / 48°1.3
66 °
Amherst, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind18.9 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility3.5 mi
Dew point62°
Sat, 1746° / 40°0.05
46 °
Amherst, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 1856° / 39°0
56 °
Amherst, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 1961° / 47°0
61 °
Amherst, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2065° / 52°0
65 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2163° / 49°0
63 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2258° / 43°0.07
58 °
Amherst, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2346° / 40°0
46 °
Amherst, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 2451° / 38°0
51 °
Amherst, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2555° / 40°0.11
55 °
Amherst, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2645° / 40°0.18
45 °
Amherst, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.8 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2747° / 40°0.01
47 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.8 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2844° / 40°0.09
44 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2945° / 41°0.02
45 °
Amherst, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.1
53 °
Amherst, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low30° (1969)
Sat, 3155° / 42°0.13
55 °
Amherst, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low27° (2020)
Sun, 0155° / 43°0.12
55 °
Amherst, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low31° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.18
54 °
Amherst, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Tue, 0353° / 41°0.1
53 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1961)
Record low30° (2013)
Wed, 0451° / 40°0.11
51 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0552° / 41°0.12
52 °
Amherst, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Amherst, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low28° (1991)
Sat, 0749° / 39°0.1
49 °
Amherst, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low28° (2002)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.08
49 °
Amherst, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1996)
Record low23° (2019)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.09
50 °
Amherst, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (1991)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Amherst, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low17° (1991)
Wed, 1148° / 37°0.15
48 °
Amherst, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 35°0.09
47 °
Amherst, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high66° (2012)
Record low16° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Amherst, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Amherst, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.