Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 55.8°, average low 40.2°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (62.4°), the coolest 7 November (26.2°).
55.8°/40.2°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
57.9°
55.6°
+1.3°
2 November – 11 November
52.1°
52.1°
-0°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
46.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.5°1 October 2019All-time high
26.2°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Sat, 2461° / 28°0
61 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 28°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 2560° / 31°0
60 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 31°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind1.8 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 2661° / 37°0
61 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 61°, low 37°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind1.1 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2749° / 37°0
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2852° / 31°0
52 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2961° / 42°0
61 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 3062° / 47°0
62 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 3158° / 47°0
58 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0159° / 51°0.11
59 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0260° / 58°0.35
60 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Tue, 0359° / 48°0.24
59 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 0454° / 42°0.3
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 0550° / 44°0.28
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 0650° / 41°0.02
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 0740° / 26°0.02
40 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 26°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0851° / 37°0.12
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0951° / 36°0.1
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1971)
Tue, 1051° / 37°0.11
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Wed, 1149° / 37°0.14
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1248° / 35°0.12
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low23° (1987)
Fri, 1347° / 33°0.14
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1447° / 33°0.13
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1993)
Record low19° (1986)
Sun, 1548° / 34°0.13
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1647° / 33°0.11
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low17° (1967)
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1972)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Thu, 1946° / 32°0.06
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low13° (1972)
Fri, 2046° / 32°0.15
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2145° / 31°0.1
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low15° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.