Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 60.2°, average low 45.1°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (69.3°), the coolest 25 October (30.6°).
60.2°/45.1°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
62°
55.1°
+3.8°
4 November – 13 November
57.2°
50.6°
+3.7°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
45.9°
—
October records over 66 years
86.5°1 October 2019All-time high
26.2°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Mon, 2665° / 32°0
65 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind1.1 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility3.5 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2749° / 37°0
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Wed, 2852° / 32°0
52 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 32°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind2 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 2963° / 45°0
63 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 3065° / 48°0.04
65 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 3161° / 44°0
61 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.6 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0168° / 51°0
68 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0265° / 54°0.01
65 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0369° / 58°0.04
69 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 0469° / 58°0.12
69 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 0562° / 50°0.61
62 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 0655° / 48°0.02
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind5.4 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0750° / 44°0.02
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 0855° / 43°0.03
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.5 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 0952° / 47°0.51
52 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind7.6 mph E
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1051° / 37°0.11
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Wed, 1149° / 37°0.14
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1248° / 35°0.12
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low23° (1987)
Fri, 1347° / 33°0.14
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1447° / 33°0.13
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1993)
Record low19° (1986)
Sun, 1548° / 34°0.13
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1647° / 33°0.11
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low17° (1967)
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1972)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Thu, 1946° / 32°0.06
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low13° (1972)
Fri, 2046° / 32°0.15
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2145° / 31°0.1
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 31°0.11
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1963)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low5° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.