Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 46.5°, average low 34.9°. That is 1° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 4.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (64.4°), the coolest 14 November (10.3°).
46.5°/34.9°
Average high / low
−1°
Below normal
9 / 5
Wet days / normal
4.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 November – 15 November
48.8°
49.4°
-0.4°
16 November – 25 November
42.5°
45.3°
-1.5°
26 November – 5 December
at normal
42.4°
—
November records over 66 years
78.3°6 November 2024All-time high
5.4°23 November 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Sat, 0756° / 44°0.35
56 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility5.5 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 0857° / 45°0.06
57 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 0951° / 44°0.15
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Tue, 1056° / 43°0
56 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1154° / 39°0
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1246° / 34°0.59
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1333° / 26°1.09
33 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 33°, low 26°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1434° / 10°0.02
34 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 10°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 1538° / 17°0
38 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 17°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1636° / 24°0
36 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 24°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.3 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1743° / 30°0.06
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1844° / 39°0.28
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1944° / 38°0.02
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.02
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2144° / 40°1.53
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Heavy rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2243° / 31°0.11
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1963)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low5° (1972)
Tue, 2444° / 31°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2545° / 31°0.14
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low16° (1997)
Thu, 2645° / 32°0.18
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 31°0.11
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low17° (1978)
Sat, 2845° / 32°0.17
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 2944° / 31°0.07
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low17° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 29°0.11
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1971)
Wed, 0241° / 28°0.13
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low7° (1971)
Thu, 0341° / 28°0.14
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low1° (1971)
Fri, 0440° / 27°0.09
40 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low8° (1966)
Sat, 0539° / 27°0.11
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low-2° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.