Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 53.8°, average low 38.4°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (68.1°), the coolest 28 October (27.2°).
53.8°/38.4°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
56.9°
54.8°
+1.2°
5 November – 14 November
48.5°
50°
-0.8°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
45.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.5°1 October 2019All-time high
26.2°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Tue, 2755° / 32°0
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 55°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Wed, 2856° / 27°0
56 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 27°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Thu, 2964° / 44°0
64 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.8 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 3064° / 46°0
64 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 3158° / 42°0
58 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.6 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 0155° / 41°0.01
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0257° / 53°0.33
57 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0347° / 31°0
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 0445° / 30°0
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Thu, 0547° / 40°0.47
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.5 mph E
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0644° / 39°0.03
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 0744° / 36°0
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0851° / 37°0
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0950° / 38°0
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1055° / 44°0.49
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1149° / 37°0.14
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1248° / 35°0.12
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low23° (1987)
Fri, 1347° / 33°0.14
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1447° / 33°0.13
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1993)
Record low19° (1986)
Sun, 1548° / 34°0.13
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1647° / 33°0.11
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low17° (1967)
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1972)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Thu, 1946° / 32°0.06
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low13° (1972)
Fri, 2046° / 32°0.15
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2145° / 31°0.1
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 31°0.11
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1963)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low5° (1972)
Tue, 2444° / 31°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low15° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.