Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 54.1°, average low 38.9°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (69.2°), the coolest 17 November (25.4°).
54.1°/38.9°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
60.3°
52.1°
+4.5°
12 November – 21 November
43.7°
46.6°
-1.6°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
43.9°
—
November records over 66 years
78.3°6 November 2024All-time high
5.4°23 November 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Tue, 0368° / 41°0
68 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 0469° / 52°0
69 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 69°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 0566° / 58°0.07
66 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Fri, 0668° / 55°0.04
68 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 0763° / 46°0
63 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.9 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0855° / 42°0
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.9 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0953° / 42°0.17
53 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind18.7 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1048° / 39°0.02
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1144° / 35°0.03
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind11.2 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1246° / 34°0.04
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1348° / 31°0
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.7 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1444° / 30°0
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1544° / 29°0
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1643° / 26°0.12
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Snow. High 43°, low 26°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1738° / 25°0
38 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 25°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Thu, 1946° / 32°0.06
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low13° (1972)
Fri, 2046° / 32°0.15
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2145° / 31°0.1
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 31°0.11
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1963)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low5° (1972)
Tue, 2444° / 31°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2545° / 31°0.14
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low16° (1997)
Thu, 2645° / 32°0.18
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 31°0.11
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low17° (1978)
Sat, 2845° / 32°0.17
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 2944° / 31°0.07
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low17° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 29°0.11
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.