Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 48.5°, average low 35.6°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (61.2°), the coolest 27 November (26°).
48.5°/35.6°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
49.3°
46.2°
+1.7°
23 November – 2 December
47.2°
43.7°
+2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
38.9°
—
November records over 66 years
78.3°6 November 2024All-time high
5.4°23 November 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Sat, 1439° / 30°0.02
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 1543° / 33°0
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Mon, 1643° / 35°0
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Tue, 1751° / 32°0
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 1853° / 31°0
53 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.2 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1954° / 35°0
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2054° / 38°0
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.1 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2155° / 37°0
55 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2261° / 49°0
61 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2358° / 49°0.06
58 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.5 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 2456° / 53°0.46
56 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind2.3 mph W
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 2554° / 34°0.46
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2638° / 27°0
38 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Mostly clear. High 38°, low 27°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Fri, 2739° / 26°0
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 39°, low 26°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Sat, 2839° / 26°0
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 26°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2944° / 31°0.07
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low17° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 29°0.11
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1971)
Wed, 0241° / 28°0.13
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low7° (1971)
Thu, 0341° / 28°0.14
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low1° (1971)
Fri, 0440° / 27°0.09
40 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low8° (1966)
Sat, 0539° / 27°0.11
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low-2° (1971)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.14
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (2001)
Record low14° (1964)
Mon, 0739° / 26°0.1
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low4° (1964)
Tue, 0837° / 25°0.08
37 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1964)
Wed, 0938° / 25°0.14
38 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low6° (2025)
Thu, 1038° / 26°0.09
38 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high57° (2023)
Record low1° (1964)
Fri, 1139° / 25°0.17
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (2021)
Record low-7° (1977)
Sat, 1237° / 24°0.13
37 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.