Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 55.5°, average low 39.5°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (68.4°), the coolest 8 November (30°).
55.5°/39.5°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
58.5°
53.4°
+2.8°
9 November – 18 November
50.3°
48°
+1.3°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
44.8°
—
October records over 66 years
86.5°1 October 2019All-time high
26.2°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Sat, 3152° / 33°0
52 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 0156° / 34°0
56 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 56°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind0.9 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 0263° / 41°0
63 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind2.3 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 0368° / 45°0
68 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0467° / 51°0
67 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 0565° / 52°0.06
65 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 0665° / 43°0.3
65 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind17.8 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0745° / 35°0
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.6 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 0847° / 30°0
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 0942° / 38°0.11
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Snow. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1044° / 40°0.02
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1149° / 34°0
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1250° / 31°0.02
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 31°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind3.5 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1363° / 44°0
63 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 1454° / 40°0
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1548° / 34°0.13
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1647° / 33°0.11
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low17° (1967)
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1972)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Thu, 1946° / 32°0.06
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low13° (1972)
Fri, 2046° / 32°0.15
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2145° / 31°0.1
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 31°0.11
43 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1963)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low5° (1972)
Tue, 2444° / 31°0.09
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2545° / 31°0.14
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low16° (1997)
Thu, 2645° / 32°0.18
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 31°0.11
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low17° (1978)
Sat, 2845° / 32°0.17
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.