Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 54.7°, average low 34.5°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 October (70.2°), the coolest 29 October (28.1°).
54.7°/34.5°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
57.8°
56.8°
+0.5°
30 October – 8 November
49.4°
53.4°
-2.2°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
48°
—
October records over 66 years
86.5°1 October 2019All-time high
26.2°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Wed, 2161° / 34°0
61 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.6 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2258° / 38°0
58 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.5 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Fri, 2350° / 37°0
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.9 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sat, 2453° / 33°0
53 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind4.3 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2559° / 35°0
59 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 35°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2664° / 42°0
64 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.4 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2770° / 45°0.04
70 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 2847° / 30°0
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.1 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 2950° / 28°0
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 50°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 3053° / 29°0
53 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 29°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 3150° / 33°0
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 0149° / 33°0
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0251° / 30°0
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 0351° / 30°0
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.5 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 0442° / 35°0.96
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.9 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0553° / 39°0.13
53 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 0652° / 39°0.09
52 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low27° (2012)
Sat, 0751° / 37°0.08
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low23° (1962)
Sun, 0851° / 37°0.12
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0951° / 36°0.1
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1971)
Tue, 1051° / 37°0.11
51 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Wed, 1149° / 37°0.14
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1248° / 35°0.12
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low23° (1987)
Fri, 1347° / 33°0.14
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1447° / 33°0.13
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1993)
Record low19° (1986)
Sun, 1548° / 34°0.13
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1647° / 33°0.11
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2005)
Record low17° (1967)
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1972)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.