Weather in Arnolds Mill, NY
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 16 October, 04:04
Rain. Feels like 53°. High 72°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 58.9°, average low 40.9°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (72.2°), the coolest 18 October (34.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 60.1° | 58.2° | +1.1° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 56.8° | 54.8° | +1.1° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 50° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
0
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.
0
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 55°, low 34°.
0Arnolds Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
0Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
0
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 39°.
0Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 38°.
0Arnolds Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
0Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
0Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
0Arnolds Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
0Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 39°.
0Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 41°.
0.04Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 47°.
0.09Arnolds Mill, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 45°.
0Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 45°.
0.09Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Arnolds Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Arnolds Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Arnolds Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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