Weather in Arnolds Mill, NY
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November, 13:38
Overcast. Feels like 44°. High 45°, low 35°.
Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 49°, average low 35.1°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (57.2°), the coolest 30 November (27.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 50.4° | 45.6° | +2.7° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 46.6° | 43° | +2° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 38.2° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
0Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 34°.
0
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
0Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 36°.
0Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 36°.
0Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 37°.
0Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 39°.
0Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 42°.
0Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 41°.
0
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 34°.
0Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 31°.
0
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 30°.
0Arnolds Mill, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 32°.
0.22
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
0Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 33°.
0Arnolds Mill, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 28°.
0.11Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Arnolds Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Arnolds Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Arnolds Mill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Arnolds Mill, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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