Monthly outlook for Arnolds Mill, NY: average high 46.3°, average low 35.5°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (53.7°), the coolest 23 November (26.3°).
46.3°/35.5°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 November – 18 November
46.2°
48°
-1°
19 November – 28 November
46.4°
44.8°
+0.9°
29 November – 8 December
at normal
40.7°
—
November records over 66 years
78.3°6 November 2024All-time high
5.4°23 November 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (10 mi).
Tue, 1054° / 44°0.01
54 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1153° / 42°0
53 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 1245° / 40°0.14
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility4.3 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1341° / 37°0.1
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.6 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 1442° / 33°0.07
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.9 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1540° / 34°0.12
40 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 34°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 1642° / 36°0
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 36°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1748° / 36°0
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1847° / 32°0
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1948° / 31°0
48 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2049° / 40°0.03
49 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2147° / 37°0.15
47 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2240° / 29°0
40 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 2344° / 26°0
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 44°, low 26°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.9 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Tue, 2450° / 30°0
50 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.7 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2545° / 31°0.14
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low16° (1997)
Thu, 2645° / 32°0.18
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 31°0.11
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low17° (1978)
Sat, 2845° / 32°0.17
45 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 2944° / 31°0.07
44 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low17° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 29°0.11
42 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1971)
Wed, 0241° / 28°0.13
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low7° (1971)
Thu, 0341° / 28°0.14
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low1° (1971)
Fri, 0440° / 27°0.09
40 °
Arnolds Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low8° (1966)
Sat, 0539° / 27°0.11
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low-2° (1971)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.14
41 °
Arnolds Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (2001)
Record low14° (1964)
Mon, 0739° / 26°0.1
39 °
Arnolds Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low4° (1964)
Tue, 0837° / 25°0.08
37 °
Arnolds Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arnolds Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arnolds Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.