Monthly outlook for Sugar Grove, VA: average high 51.6°, average low 38.2°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (63.8°), the coolest 15 November (22.6°).
51.6°/38.2°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
50.8°
52.9°
-1.2°
18 November – 27 November
52.9°
50.6°
+1.3°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
46.6°
—
November records over 66 years
75.9°6 November 2024All-time high
8.4°26 November 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
Mon, 0961° / 36°0
61 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Tue, 1058° / 38°0
58 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.1 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1161° / 41°0
61 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1250° / 42°0.5
50 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility5.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 1340° / 32°0.11
40 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 40°, low 32°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1431° / 28°0.07
31 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 31°, low 28°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.1 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1540° / 23°0
40 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 40°, low 23°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.8 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1652° / 36°0
52 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1756° / 46°0
56 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 1863° / 45°0
63 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1964° / 48°0
64 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.2 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 2055° / 52°0.18
55 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2156° / 44°0.02
56 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.4 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2244° / 36°0.38
44 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 44°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2336° / 33°0.17
36 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 36°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2450° / 33°0.13
50 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low9° (1970)
Wed, 2550° / 34°0.06
50 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1973)
Record low11° (1970)
Thu, 2651° / 33°0.13
51 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low8° (1971)
Fri, 2750° / 35°0.11
50 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low15° (1977)
Sat, 2849° / 34°0.11
49 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low15° (2018)
Sun, 2948° / 32°0.07
48 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low18° (2018)
Mon, 3047° / 33°0.15
47 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low12° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 32°0.15
47 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2006)
Record low10° (1964)
Wed, 0247° / 31°0.09
47 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low16° (1960)
Thu, 0347° / 31°0.07
47 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low10° (1966)
Fri, 0446° / 30°0.13
46 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low5° (1966)
Sat, 0546° / 31°0.11
46 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low0° (1974)
Sun, 0646° / 29°0.08
46 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low11° (1974)
Mon, 0744° / 29°0.11
44 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low1° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Sugar Grove, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Sugar Grove, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.