Monthly outlook for Sugar Grove, VA: average high 46.5°, average low 28.2°. That is 2.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (65.5°), the coolest 24 November (11.6°).
46.5°/28.2°
Average high / low
−2.6°
Below normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
48.4°
51.9°
-1.9°
21 November – 30 November
43.4°
49.4°
-3.4°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
45.7°
—
November records over 66 years
75.9°6 November 2024All-time high
8.4°26 November 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
Thu, 1252° / 37°0.21
52 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1339° / 31°0.28
39 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 39°, low 31°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility4.8 mi
Dew point34°
Sat, 1435° / 27°0.02
35 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 27°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Sun, 1539° / 25°0
39 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 25°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1644° / 27°0
44 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 27°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1747° / 29°0
47 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.3 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 1849° / 29°0
49 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 1956° / 31°0
56 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Fri, 2058° / 37°0
58 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 2159° / 36°0
59 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2251° / 37°0.18
51 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.4 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2335° / 16°0.06
35 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 35°, low 16°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2427° / 12°0.05
27 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 27°, low 12°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Wed, 2541° / 15°0
41 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 25 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 15°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.3 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point9°
Thu, 2647° / 25°0
47 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 47°, low 25°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2750° / 35°0.11
50 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low15° (1977)
Sat, 2849° / 34°0.11
49 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low15° (2018)
Sun, 2948° / 32°0.07
48 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low18° (2018)
Mon, 3047° / 33°0.15
47 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low12° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 32°0.15
47 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2006)
Record low10° (1964)
Wed, 0247° / 31°0.09
47 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low16° (1960)
Thu, 0347° / 31°0.07
47 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low10° (1966)
Fri, 0446° / 30°0.13
46 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low5° (1966)
Sat, 0546° / 31°0.11
46 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low0° (1974)
Sun, 0646° / 29°0.08
46 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low11° (1974)
Mon, 0744° / 29°0.11
44 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low1° (1977)
Tue, 0844° / 30°0.09
44 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high66° (1978)
Record low8° (2003)
Wed, 0945° / 29°0.16
45 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2007)
Record low6° (2010)
Thu, 1046° / 30°0.16
46 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (2024)
Record low0° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Sugar Grove, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Sugar Grove, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.