Monthly outlook for Sugar Grove, VA: average high 58°, average low 42.3°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (68.2°), the coolest 10 November (33.8°).
58°/42.3°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
61.7°
58.4°
+1.9°
5 November – 14 November
51.8°
54°
-1.2°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
50.9°
—
October records over 66 years
87.4°3 October 2019All-time high
23.4°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
Tue, 2767° / 40°0
67 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 67°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 2867° / 42°0
67 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind1.7 mph E
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 2965° / 43°0
65 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.2 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 3068° / 45°0
68 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.2 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 3164° / 50°0
64 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0154° / 50°0.15
54 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 0254° / 53°0.12
54 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 0358° / 54°0.07
58 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 0456° / 41°0.04
56 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.6 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 0559° / 36°0
59 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.3 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 0649° / 44°0.6
49 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind7.8 mph W
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 0752° / 38°0.03
52 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0848° / 36°0
48 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.7 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0950° / 37°0
50 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1053° / 34°0
53 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1154° / 36°0.14
54 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low20° (2025)
Thu, 1252° / 36°0.17
52 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (2003)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1351° / 34°0.03
51 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low13° (2019)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.06
52 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1993)
Record low18° (1976)
Sun, 1551° / 35°0.08
51 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high68° (2009)
Record low14° (1996)
Mon, 1652° / 35°0.09
52 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low18° (1995)
Tue, 1751° / 35°0.06
51 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Wed, 1852° / 35°0.04
52 °
Sugar Grove, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2016)
Record low18° (2014)
Thu, 1953° / 35°0.09
53 °
Sugar Grove, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 35°0.04
51 °
Sugar Grove, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low21° (2022)
Sat, 2149° / 34°0.11
49 °
Sugar Grove, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high66° (1994)
Record low19° (1987)
Sun, 2250° / 33°0.09
50 °
Sugar Grove, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2003)
Record low17° (2000)
Mon, 2350° / 33°0.07
50 °
Sugar Grove, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (2003)
Record low16° (1970)
Tue, 2450° / 33°0.13
50 °
Sugar Grove, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low9° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Sugar Grove, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Sugar Grove, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.