Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 64.8°, average low 42.8°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (71.9°), the coolest 18 October (32.8°).
64.8°/42.8°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
64.2°
60.4°
+2.1°
28 October – 6 November
65.9°
57.5°
+4.6°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
53.3°
—
October records over 66 years
87.4°3 October 2019All-time high
23.4°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
Mon, 1964° / 37°0
64 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind1.7 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Tue, 2066° / 37°0
66 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind2.5 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 2165° / 37°0
65 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.1 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2262° / 37°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.5 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2362° / 36°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2459° / 36°0
59 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 2565° / 35°0
65 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2670° / 45°0
70 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2771° / 51°0
71 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.2 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2867° / 46°0.08
67 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.6 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2961° / 55°0.41
61 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 3072° / 58°0.01
72 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 58°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 3172° / 57°0.05
72 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 0161° / 45°0.06
61 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0262° / 40°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.05
57 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (2012)
Wed, 0456° / 39°0.11
56 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0555° / 39°0.1
55 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1961)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 38°0.04
56 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low24° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 38°0.09
55 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 37°0.07
55 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low22° (1971)
Mon, 0956° / 38°0.07
56 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low22° (2019)
Tue, 1055° / 38°0.11
55 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low22° (2025)
Wed, 1154° / 36°0.14
54 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low20° (2025)
Thu, 1252° / 36°0.17
52 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (2003)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1351° / 34°0.03
51 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low13° (2019)
Sat, 1452° / 33°0.06
52 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1993)
Record low18° (1976)
Sun, 1551° / 35°0.08
51 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high68° (2009)
Record low14° (1996)
Mon, 1652° / 35°0.09
52 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low18° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.