Weather in Mount Carmel, VA
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November, 05:40
Overcast. Feels like 26°. High 38°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 51.6°, average low 33.6°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (61.4°), the coolest 16 November (27.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 November – 23 November | 53.3° | 51° | +1.3° |
| 24 November – 3 December | 48.7° | 48.7° | +0° |
| 4 December – 13 December | at normal | 45° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 34°.
0
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 49°, low 27°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 28°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 59°, low 30°.
0
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 31°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 39°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 54°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 28°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 31°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 35°.
0.01
Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 33°.
0.07Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 36°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
0.15
Mount Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Mount Carmel, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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