Weather in Mount Carmel, VA
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October, 17:39
Clear. Feels like 65°. High 68°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 59.5°, average low 44.7°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (69.9°), the coolest 11 November (35.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 63.6° | 57.9° | +3.1° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 52.8° | 53.7° | -0.5° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 50.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 39°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 66°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 70°, low 44°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.
0.05
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 47°.
0.38Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
0.1Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 54°.
0.16Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 58°.
0.07Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
0.04Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
0.09Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 49°.
0.05Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 36°.
0.17
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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