Weather in Mount Carmel, VA
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October, 03:50
Fog. Feels like 43°. High 70°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 57.3°, average low 41.3°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (71.3°), the coolest 9 November (30.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 October – 7 November | 62.7° | 57.2° | +3° |
| 8 November – 17 November | 48.3° | 52.9° | -2.5° |
| 18 November – 27 November | at normal | 50.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 43°.
0
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.
0.01
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 47°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 43°.
0.75Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 62°, low 56°.
2.01Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 54°.
0.07Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 50°.
0.17Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
0
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 33°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 50°, low 30°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 32°.
0.27Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 47°, low 39°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 32°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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