Weather in Mount Carmel, VA
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October, 10:27
Overcast. Feels like 43°. High 55°, low 42°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 66.3°, average low 44.3°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (75.5°), the coolest 18 October (34.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 64° | 60.6° | +1.9° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 70.2° | 57.9° | +6.8° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 53.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 61°, low 34°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 36°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
0
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 65°, low 40°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 39°.
0
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 45°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 50°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.
0.09
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 53°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 51°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 52°.
0.17Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 58°.
0.12Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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