Weather in Mount Carmel, VA
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 8 August, 22:48
Overcast. Feels like 67°. High 81°, low 65°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 79.8°, average low 62.9°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 August (85.8°), the coolest 21 August (53.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 August – 17 August | 79.7° | 78.5° | +0.7° |
| 18 August – 27 August | 79.9° | 78.3° | +0.9° |
| 28 August – 6 September | at normal | 77° | — |
August records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
0.2
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 9 August
Light rain. High 82°, low 67°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 84°, low 67°.
0.09Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 83°, low 65°.
0.83Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 12 August
Heavy rain. High 85°, low 63°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 62°.
0.48Mount Carmel, Friday, 14 August
Rain. High 69°, low 65°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 81°, low 61°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Sunday, 16 August
Light rain. High 76°, low 64°.
0.83Mount Carmel, Monday, 17 August
Heavy rain. High 79°, low 64°.
0.07Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 79°, low 63°.
0.04Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 19 August
Light rain. High 83°, low 64°.
0.04Mount Carmel, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 75°, low 57°.
0
Mount Carmel, Friday, 21 August
Clear. High 75°, low 54°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 81°, low 60°.
0.61Mount Carmel, Sunday, 23 August
Rain. High 86°, low 65°.
0.08
Mount Carmel, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Mount Carmel, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Mount Carmel, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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