Weather in Mount Carmel, VA
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November, 19:14
Partly cloudy. Feels like 54°. High 65°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, VA: average high 53.4°, average low 36.7°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (64.7°), the coolest 15 November (22.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 November – 15 November | 52.1° | 53.7° | -0.9° |
| 16 November – 25 November | 55.4° | 50.8° | +2.6° |
| 26 November – 5 December | at normal | 47.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (12 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 38°.
0
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 57°, low 35°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 38°.
0.02
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 40°.
0.28
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 44°, low 35°.
0.03Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 24°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 34°, low 22°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 23°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 32°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 38°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 42°.
0.24Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
0.08Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 46°.
0.09
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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