Monthly outlook for Mountain Falls, VA: average high 65.2°, average low 45.9°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (84.2°), the coolest 18 October (39°).
65.2°/45.9°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
67.4°
65.1°
+1.3°
24 October – 2 November
61.5°
61.8°
-0.2°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
57.8°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°2 October 2019All-time high
18.9°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Strasburg (9 mi).
Thu, 1563° / 50°0.5
63 °
Mountain Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility1.8 mi
Dew point57°
Fri, 1684° / 51°0.04
84 °
Mountain Falls, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 51°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Sat, 1760° / 44°0
60 °
Mountain Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 1856° / 39°0
56 °
Mountain Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind2.2 mph E
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1960° / 39°0
60 °
Mountain Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2065° / 45°0
65 °
Mountain Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.6 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2168° / 47°0
68 °
Mountain Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.6 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2272° / 50°0
72 °
Mountain Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.8 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 2362° / 44°0
62 °
Mountain Falls, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2466° / 42°0
66 °
Mountain Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2558° / 46°0
58 °
Mountain Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 2655° / 40°0
55 °
Mountain Falls, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2765° / 39°0
65 °
Mountain Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.4 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2865° / 44°0
65 °
Mountain Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2959° / 51°0.2
59 °
Mountain Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind18.3 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3061° / 42°0.09
61 °
Mountain Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low19° (2011)
Sat, 3162° / 44°0.04
62 °
Mountain Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low26° (2011)
Sun, 0162° / 45°0.07
62 °
Mountain Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low33° (2011)
Mon, 0262° / 45°0.13
62 °
Mountain Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high81° (1971)
Record low27° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 43°0.07
61 °
Mountain Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2003)
Record low32° (2006)
Wed, 0459° / 42°0.11
59 °
Mountain Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2003)
Record low27° (2006)
Thu, 0558° / 42°0.09
58 °
Mountain Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (1961)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 42°0.06
59 °
Mountain Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2015)
Record low26° (2021)
Sat, 0758° / 41°0.11
58 °
Mountain Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low28° (1962)
Sun, 0858° / 40°0.13
58 °
Mountain Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (1975)
Record low27° (1960)
Mon, 0958° / 40°0.06
58 °
Mountain Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1057° / 40°0.13
57 °
Mountain Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2020)
Record low27° (2003)
Wed, 1156° / 40°0.16
56 °
Mountain Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1254° / 39°0.2
54 °
Mountain Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low26° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mountain Falls, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mountain Falls, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.