Weather in Michaelwood, VA
Michaelwood, Saturday, 17 October, 20:45
Overcast. Feels like 51°. High 68°, low 53°.
Monthly outlook for Michaelwood, VA: average high 64.4°, average low 55.8°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 October (71.6°), the coolest 18 October (49.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 63.8° | 66.4° | -1.4° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 65.4° | 64° | +0.8° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 60.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bay Island (4 mi).
0Michaelwood, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 49°.
0Michaelwood, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 56°.
0
Michaelwood, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 60°.
0Michaelwood, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 57°.
0Michaelwood, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 55°.
0Michaelwood, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 63°, low 57°.
0Michaelwood, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 66°, low 60°.
0Michaelwood, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 65°, low 60°.
0Michaelwood, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 68°, low 61°.
0.05
Michaelwood, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 59°.
0.01Michaelwood, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
0Michaelwood, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 57°, low 50°.
0Michaelwood, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 51°.
0Michaelwood, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 54°.
0Michaelwood, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 60°.
0.17
Michaelwood, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Michaelwood, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Michaelwood, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Michaelwood, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Michaelwood, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Michaelwood, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Michaelwood, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Michaelwood, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Michaelwood, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Michaelwood, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Michaelwood, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Michaelwood, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Michaelwood, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Michaelwood, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Michaelwood, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Michaelwood, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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