Monthly outlook for Luray, VA: average high 69.1°, average low 47.6°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (84.9°), the coolest 22 October (33°).
69.1°/47.6°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
72.3°
67.1°
+2.9°
17 October – 26 October
63.6°
62.9°
+0.4°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
60.6°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°3 October 2019All-time high
16.2°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Stanley (7 mi).
Thu, 0877° / 49°0
77 °
Luray, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 77°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 0972° / 46°0
72 °
Luray, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 72°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 1072° / 52°0
72 °
Luray, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind1.2 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 1169° / 55°0.37
69 °
Luray, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.1 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1277° / 61°0.06
77 °
Luray, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 61°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Tue, 1385° / 61°0
85 °
Luray, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 85°, low 61°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 1459° / 45°0
59 °
Luray, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1567° / 41°0
67 °
Luray, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 67°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.9 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1671° / 45°0
71 °
Luray, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 71°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 1774° / 54°0
74 °
Luray, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 74°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 1877° / 54°0
77 °
Luray, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 1963° / 44°0
63 °
Luray, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2062° / 41°0
62 °
Luray, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2151° / 38°0.02
51 °
Luray, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2254° / 33°0
54 °
Luray, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.2 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2364° / 45°0.16
64 °
Luray, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (2012)
Record low29° (1997)
Sat, 2462° / 46°0.07
62 °
Luray, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2001)
Record low28° (1969)
Sun, 2561° / 45°0.16
61 °
Luray, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low30° (1964)
Mon, 2661° / 45°0.12
61 °
Luray, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low29° (1962)
Tue, 2762° / 45°0.13
62 °
Luray, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (1984)
Record low27° (1962)
Wed, 2862° / 45°0.09
62 °
Luray, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low28° (1976)
Thu, 2960° / 43°0.21
60 °
Luray, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low27° (2011)
Fri, 3060° / 42°0.09
60 °
Luray, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low16° (2011)
Sat, 3162° / 44°0.04
62 °
Luray, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low27° (2011)
Sun, 0162° / 45°0.08
62 °
Luray, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (1974)
Record low30° (2023)
Mon, 0261° / 44°0.13
61 °
Luray, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1971)
Record low28° (1976)
Tue, 0361° / 43°0.07
61 °
Luray, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low30° (1996)
Wed, 0458° / 42°0.16
58 °
Luray, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low27° (1962)
Thu, 0558° / 42°0.08
58 °
Luray, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (1961)
Record low26° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Luray, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Luray, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.