Monthly outlook for Ceres, VA: average high 60.5°, average low 41°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (74.1°), the coolest 19 October (24.3°).
60.5°/41°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
61.4°
63°
-0.9°
21 October – 30 October
59°
59.7°
-0.4°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
56.6°
—
October records over 66 years
87.4°3 October 2019All-time high
23.4°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (9 mi).
Mon, 1266° / 50°0.27
66 °
Ceres, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility5.3 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1373° / 52°0
73 °
Ceres, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 73°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Wed, 1474° / 58°0
74 °
Ceres, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 74°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 1567° / 61°0.09
67 °
Ceres, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 61°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 1662° / 55°0.53
62 °
Ceres, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 1752° / 30°0.08
52 °
Ceres, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 52°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1840° / 25°0.02
40 °
Ceres, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Mon, 1954° / 24°0
54 °
Ceres, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 24°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.2 mph E
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Tue, 2059° / 28°0
59 °
Ceres, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 28°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind2.7 mph SE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 2161° / 33°0
61 °
Ceres, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.9 mph W
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 2262° / 37°0
62 °
Ceres, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2358° / 38°0
58 °
Ceres, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2452° / 34°0
52 °
Ceres, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2556° / 31°0
56 °
Ceres, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.8 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2665° / 46°0
65 °
Ceres, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2759° / 42°0.13
59 °
Ceres, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low23° (1962)
Wed, 2858° / 43°0.09
58 °
Ceres, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2958° / 41°0.11
58 °
Ceres, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low27° (1965)
Fri, 3059° / 40°0.1
59 °
Ceres, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low26° (2017)
Sat, 3159° / 42°0.07
59 °
Ceres, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0159° / 43°0.06
59 °
Ceres, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2004)
Record low24° (2023)
Mon, 0259° / 42°0.12
59 °
Ceres, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (2023)
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.05
57 °
Ceres, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (2012)
Wed, 0456° / 39°0.11
56 °
Ceres, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0555° / 39°0.1
55 °
Ceres, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1961)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 38°0.04
56 °
Ceres, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low24° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 38°0.09
55 °
Ceres, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0855° / 37°0.07
55 °
Ceres, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low22° (1971)
Mon, 0956° / 38°0.07
56 °
Ceres, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low22° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ceres, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ceres, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.