Monthly outlook for Chapel Acres, VA: average high 56.5°, average low 43°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 November (66.1°), the coolest 18 November (36°).
56.5°/43°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
56.8°
56.6°
+0.1°
18 November – 27 November
56.1°
53.6°
+1.4°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
50.2°
—
November records over 66 years
82.4°1 November 1974All-time high
20.1°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Occoquan (4 mi).
Mon, 0961° / 48°0
61 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1065° / 41°0
65 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 1164° / 45°0
64 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind3.4 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Thu, 1262° / 46°0.11
62 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 1352° / 41°0
52 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1446° / 38°0.23
46 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind14.9 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 1550° / 38°0
50 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.9 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1655° / 39°0
55 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1752° / 41°0
52 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1849° / 36°0
49 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1950° / 38°0
50 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.6 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2047° / 41°0
47 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2160° / 45°0.02
60 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2264° / 51°0.05
64 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 2366° / 55°0.4
66 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind16.4 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2453° / 39°0.13
53 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low20° (1989)
Wed, 2553° / 39°0.09
53 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low24° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 40°0.14
55 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low29° (1970)
Fri, 2754° / 40°0.1
54 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1988)
Record low27° (1974)
Sat, 2854° / 40°0.16
54 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1990)
Record low27° (2023)
Sun, 2951° / 38°0.12
51 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 0151° / 37°0.17
51 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low20° (1967)
Wed, 0250° / 37°0.08
50 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (1970)
Record low22° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 37°0.09
50 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low21° (1976)
Fri, 0450° / 36°0.08
50 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low20° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 36°0.15
48 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low26° (1966)
Sun, 0649° / 36°0.1
49 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low19° (2002)
Mon, 0748° / 35°0.13
48 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low9° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Acres, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Acres, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.