Monthly outlook for Chapel Acres, VA: average high 55.4°, average low 38.4°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (68.1°), the coolest 27 November (24°).
55.4°/38.4°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
58°
54.6°
+1.9°
23 November – 2 December
51°
52.3°
-0.7°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
48.1°
—
November records over 66 years
82.4°1 November 1974All-time high
20.1°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Occoquan (4 mi).
Sat, 1455° / 37°0
55 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1551° / 42°0
51 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 1652° / 35°0
52 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Tue, 1755° / 36°0
55 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1859° / 36°0
59 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1962° / 41°0
62 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2062° / 46°0
62 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2161° / 45°0
61 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2265° / 45°0
65 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 22 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2365° / 46°0
65 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2468° / 51°0.03
68 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 2568° / 34°2.44
68 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 25 November
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 34°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.9 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 2632° / 27°0.47
32 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 32°, low 27°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind21.9 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 2734° / 24°0
34 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 34°, low 24°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 2838° / 25°0
38 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 38°, low 25°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.1 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2951° / 38°0.12
51 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 0151° / 37°0.17
51 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low20° (1967)
Wed, 0250° / 37°0.08
50 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (1970)
Record low22° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 37°0.09
50 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low21° (1976)
Fri, 0450° / 36°0.08
50 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low20° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 36°0.15
48 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low26° (1966)
Sun, 0649° / 36°0.1
49 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low19° (2002)
Mon, 0748° / 35°0.13
48 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low9° (2002)
Tue, 0847° / 35°0.06
47 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (1978)
Record low20° (2002)
Wed, 0947° / 35°0.17
47 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low19° (1989)
Thu, 1048° / 35°0.16
48 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1966)
Record low18° (1989)
Fri, 1147° / 35°0.16
47 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (2021)
Record low18° (1995)
Sat, 1247° / 34°0.08
47 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low13° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Acres, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Acres, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.