Monthly outlook for Chapel Acres, VA: average high 61°, average low 45.7°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (74.2°), the coolest 14 November (38.1°).
61°/45.7°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
65.1°
59.9°
+2.9°
12 November – 21 November
54.3°
54.9°
-0.3°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
52.5°
—
November records over 66 years
82.4°1 November 1974All-time high
20.1°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Occoquan (4 mi).
Tue, 0372° / 42°0
72 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Wed, 0472° / 46°0
72 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 72°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Thu, 0574° / 60°0.15
74 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 60°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Fri, 0668° / 60°0.59
68 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 68°, low 60°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility3.1 mi
Dew point65°
Sat, 0769° / 56°0.02
69 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sun, 0863° / 49°0.07
63 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0957° / 47°0.47
57 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 1053° / 42°0
53 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 1158° / 40°0
58 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1261° / 45°0
61 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1352° / 42°0
52 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1461° / 38°0
61 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.8 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1553° / 39°0
53 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1649° / 41°0
49 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1750° / 39°0
50 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1855° / 40°0.06
55 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low28° (2014)
Thu, 1955° / 41°0.11
55 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low25° (2014)
Fri, 2055° / 41°0.06
55 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low30° (2022)
Sat, 2153° / 40°0.09
53 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low28° (2022)
Sun, 2253° / 40°0.09
53 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2007)
Record low27° (2000)
Mon, 2352° / 38°0.06
52 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low25° (2018)
Tue, 2453° / 39°0.13
53 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low20° (1989)
Wed, 2553° / 39°0.09
53 °
Chapel Acres, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low24° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 40°0.14
55 °
Chapel Acres, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low29° (1970)
Fri, 2754° / 40°0.1
54 °
Chapel Acres, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1988)
Record low27° (1974)
Sat, 2854° / 40°0.16
54 °
Chapel Acres, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1990)
Record low27° (2023)
Sun, 2951° / 38°0.12
51 °
Chapel Acres, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Chapel Acres, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 0151° / 37°0.17
51 °
Chapel Acres, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low20° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Acres, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Acres, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.