Monthly outlook for Great Falls, VA: average high 63.6°, average low 46.5°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (85.4°), the coolest 18 October (40.2°).
63.6°/46.5°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
66.1°
64.9°
+0.7°
25 October – 3 November
59.3°
61.8°
-1.4°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
57.2°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°2 October 2019All-time high
27°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sugarland Run (4 mi).
Fri, 1685° / 61°0.38
85 °
Great Falls, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 85°, low 61°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1761° / 46°0.03
61 °
Great Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.4 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 1857° / 40°0
57 °
Great Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 1960° / 41°0
60 °
Great Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2067° / 48°0
67 °
Great Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2165° / 48°0
65 °
Great Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2263° / 44°0
63 °
Great Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.4 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2366° / 46°0
66 °
Great Falls, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.4 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2466° / 49°0
66 °
Great Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.7 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2561° / 48°0
61 °
Great Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2660° / 46°0
60 °
Great Falls, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2757° / 41°0
57 °
Great Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2859° / 41°0
59 °
Great Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.3 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 2962° / 41°0
62 °
Great Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 3057° / 44°0
57 °
Great Falls, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3162° / 45°0.06
62 °
Great Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low30° (2011)
Sun, 0162° / 46°0.08
62 °
Great Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (1974)
Record low34° (2002)
Mon, 0262° / 46°0.12
62 °
Great Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (1971)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 0361° / 45°0.05
61 °
Great Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2003)
Record low32° (1996)
Wed, 0459° / 42°0.11
59 °
Great Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low28° (2006)
Thu, 0559° / 43°0.08
59 °
Great Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1961)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 43°0.07
59 °
Great Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0758° / 42°0.1
58 °
Great Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sun, 0858° / 41°0.16
58 °
Great Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low27° (1967)
Mon, 0958° / 41°0.06
58 °
Great Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Tue, 1058° / 41°0.13
58 °
Great Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low31° (1973)
Wed, 1156° / 41°0.18
56 °
Great Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1254° / 40°0.21
54 °
Great Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low28° (1960)
Fri, 1353° / 38°0.09
53 °
Great Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Great Falls, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Great Falls, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.