Weather in Elk Creek, VA
Elk Creek, Sunday, 9 August, 07:48
Overcast. Feels like 68°. High 79°, low 64°.
Monthly outlook for Elk Creek, VA: average high 84.1°, average low 63.7°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 August (96.1°), the coolest 18 August (56.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 August – 18 August | 80.2° | 78.5° | +1° |
| 19 August – 28 August | 90.6° | 78.3° | +6.9° |
| 29 August – 7 September | at normal | 76.7° | — |
August records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (14 mi).
0.04
Elk Creek, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 86°, low 68°.
0.87Elk Creek, Tuesday, 11 August
Heavy rain. High 85°, low 63°.
0.49Elk Creek, Wednesday, 12 August
Rain. High 87°, low 65°.
0.08Elk Creek, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 64°.
0.52Elk Creek, Friday, 14 August
Rain. High 76°, low 60°.
0.01Elk Creek, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 75°, low 58°.
0.15Elk Creek, Sunday, 16 August
Light rain. High 80°, low 58°.
0.09Elk Creek, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 64°.
0
Elk Creek, Tuesday, 18 August
Clear. High 81°, low 56°.
0Elk Creek, Wednesday, 19 August
Clear. High 84°, low 60°.
0
Elk Creek, Thursday, 20 August
Partly cloudy. High 89°, low 62°.
0Elk Creek, Friday, 21 August
Overcast. High 88°, low 68°.
0Elk Creek, Saturday, 22 August
Clear. High 94°, low 70°.
0.01Elk Creek, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 93°, low 71°.
0.04Elk Creek, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 96°, low 70°.
0.08
Elk Creek, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elk Creek, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elk Creek, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Elk Creek, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Elk Creek, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Elk Creek, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elk Creek, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elk Creek, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Elk Creek, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elk Creek, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elk Creek, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Elk Creek, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elk Creek, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elk Creek, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Creek, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Creek, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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