Weather in Elk Garden, VA
Elk Garden, Thursday, 12 November, 14:08
Overcast. Feels like 38°. High 50°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for Elk Garden, VA: average high 53.2°, average low 34.3°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (63.3°), the coolest 15 November (27.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 50.7° | 53.5° | -1.6° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 57.4° | 51.4° | +3.4° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 47.3° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (5 mi).
0.16
Elk Garden, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 42°, low 30°.
0.01Elk Garden, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 36°, low 28°.
0Elk Garden, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 28°.
0
Elk Garden, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
0Elk Garden, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 31°.
0Elk Garden, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 55°, low 32°.
0Elk Garden, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 32°.
0Elk Garden, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 60°, low 35°.
0Elk Garden, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
0
Elk Garden, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 42°.
0Elk Garden, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
0.17
Elk Garden, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 63°, low 47°.
0Elk Garden, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 35°.
0Elk Garden, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 31°.
0Elk Garden, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 34°.
0.15
Elk Garden, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elk Garden, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Elk Garden, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Elk Garden, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elk Garden, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elk Garden, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Elk Garden, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elk Garden, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elk Garden, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elk Garden, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elk Garden, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Elk Garden, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Elk Garden, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elk Garden, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Garden, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Garden, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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