Monthly outlook for Elk Garden, VA: average high 46.1°, average low 28°. That is 3.8° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (60.7°), the coolest 24 November (13.6°).
46.1°/28°
Average high / low
−3.8°
Below normal
1 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
50.5°
53.3°
-1.6°
23 November – 2 December
38.9°
51.1°
-6.8°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
47°
—
November records over 66 years
76.1°1 November 2016All-time high
9.9°26 November 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (5 mi).
Sat, 1438° / 29°0.03
38 °
Elk Garden, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 38°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1542° / 33°0
42 °
Elk Garden, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1650° / 28°0
50 °
Elk Garden, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 28°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind2.3 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Tue, 1755° / 32°0
55 °
Elk Garden, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 32°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind1.5 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Wed, 1859° / 36°0
59 °
Elk Garden, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind1.4 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1957° / 38°0
57 °
Elk Garden, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2061° / 40°0
61 °
Elk Garden, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2160° / 37°0
60 °
Elk Garden, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 2241° / 30°0.01
41 °
Elk Garden, Sunday, 22 November
Light snow. High 41°, low 30°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.5 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 2332° / 20°0
32 °
Elk Garden, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 32°, low 20°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11 mph W
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point6°
Tue, 2427° / 14°0
27 °
Elk Garden, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 27°, low 14°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point6°
Wed, 2532° / 14°0
32 °
Elk Garden, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 32°, low 14°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind3.8 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point6°
Thu, 2641° / 17°0
41 °
Elk Garden, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 41°, low 17°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point2°
Fri, 2749° / 22°0
49 °
Elk Garden, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 49°, low 22°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point4°
Sat, 2852° / 25°0
52 °
Elk Garden, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 52°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point9°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2950° / 34°0.07
50 °
Elk Garden, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low18° (2023)
Mon, 3049° / 35°0.19
49 °
Elk Garden, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low14° (1976)
Tue, 0149° / 34°0.19
49 °
Elk Garden, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low14° (1964)
Wed, 0249° / 33°0.09
49 °
Elk Garden, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low15° (1963)
Thu, 0349° / 33°0.09
49 °
Elk Garden, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low13° (1966)
Fri, 0448° / 33°0.16
48 °
Elk Garden, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low6° (1963)
Sat, 0548° / 33°0.12
48 °
Elk Garden, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low4° (1974)
Sun, 0647° / 31°0.13
47 °
Elk Garden, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low11° (1974)
Mon, 0746° / 31°0.13
46 °
Elk Garden, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low4° (1977)
Tue, 0847° / 32°0.1
47 °
Elk Garden, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low10° (2010)
Wed, 0948° / 32°0.19
48 °
Elk Garden, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (1966)
Record low12° (1962)
Thu, 1047° / 33°0.22
47 °
Elk Garden, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low0° (1995)
Fri, 1146° / 31°0.13
46 °
Elk Garden, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low3° (1962)
Sat, 1246° / 31°0.1
46 °
Elk Garden, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (2015)
Record low-13° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Garden, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Garden, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.