Monthly outlook for Florence, NY: average high 58.4°, average low 43.5°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 3.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (68.4°), the coolest 18 October (31.8°).
58.4°/43.5°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
58.5°
57°
+0.8°
18 October – 27 October
58.2°
52.8°
+3°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
49.7°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°4 October 2023All-time high
21°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Redfield (12 mi).
Fri, 0961° / 43°0.37
61 °
Florence, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 1060° / 39°0
60 °
Florence, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.1 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 1159° / 49°0.25
59 °
Florence, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 1265° / 53°0.11
65 °
Florence, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 1361° / 47°0.28
61 °
Florence, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10.4 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 1450° / 37°0
50 °
Florence, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1552° / 38°0
52 °
Florence, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1668° / 45°0.5
68 °
Florence, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.7 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 1748° / 36°0
48 °
Florence, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 1851° / 32°0
51 °
Florence, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1956° / 37°0
56 °
Florence, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2054° / 46°0.02
54 °
Florence, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2166° / 48°0.12
66 °
Florence, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2263° / 51°0
63 °
Florence, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2360° / 45°0.56
60 °
Florence, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.8 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2453° / 40°0.18
53 °
Florence, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high74° (1963)
Record low24° (1969)
Sun, 2553° / 40°0.17
53 °
Florence, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low27° (1962)
Mon, 2651° / 40°0.16
51 °
Florence, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (1991)
Record low28° (1997)
Tue, 2751° / 39°0.2
51 °
Florence, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high70° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 2851° / 38°0.2
51 °
Florence, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (1984)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2949° / 37°0.12
49 °
Florence, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low25° (2013)
Fri, 3050° / 37°0.12
50 °
Florence, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low25° (2008)
Sat, 3151° / 37°0.17
51 °
Florence, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low23° (1988)
Sun, 0151° / 38°0.22
51 °
Florence, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (2024)
Record low27° (1965)
Mon, 0250° / 38°0.26
50 °
Florence, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low21° (2002)
Tue, 0350° / 37°0.17
50 °
Florence, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1961)
Record low18° (2002)
Wed, 0448° / 36°0.18
48 °
Florence, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (2015)
Record low24° (2013)
Thu, 0548° / 37°0.18
48 °
Florence, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low23° (1962)
Fri, 0648° / 37°0.21
48 °
Florence, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low24° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Florence, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Florence, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.