Monthly outlook for Elma, NY: average high 57.8°, average low 43.8°. That is 0° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.2°), the coolest 19 October (29.5°).
57.8°/43.8°
Average high / low
−0°
Below normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
59.5°
59.1°
+0.3°
20 October – 29 October
55°
55°
+0°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
52.1°
—
October records over 66 years
83.3°5 October 2007All-time high
25.5°29 October 1965All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Buffalo (12 mi).
Sun, 1167° / 50°0.15
67 °
Elma, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 1266° / 51°0
66 °
Elma, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility1.1 mi
Dew point59°
Tue, 1375° / 62°0.24
75 °
Elma, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 62°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Wed, 1461° / 52°0.02
61 °
Elma, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 1555° / 44°0
55 °
Elma, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1665° / 45°0.5
65 °
Elma, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind24.2 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1749° / 37°0.14
49 °
Elma, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind21.5 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1841° / 31°0
41 °
Elma, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 41°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.3 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 1949° / 30°0
49 °
Elma, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 30°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2058° / 35°0
58 °
Elma, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2159° / 42°0
59 °
Elma, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2254° / 46°0.08
54 °
Elma, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2357° / 46°0.02
57 °
Elma, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.1 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2449° / 45°0
49 °
Elma, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.9 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2553° / 43°0.11
53 °
Elma, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2654° / 43°0.09
54 °
Elma, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (1991)
Record low30° (1987)
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.11
55 °
Elma, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2853° / 41°0.1
53 °
Elma, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2014)
Record low28° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.09
52 °
Elma, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Elma, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low29° (1983)
Sat, 3155° / 42°0.13
55 °
Elma, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low26° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.13
55 °
Elma, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low31° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.17
54 °
Elma, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Tue, 0353° / 41°0.1
53 °
Elma, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1961)
Record low30° (2013)
Wed, 0451° / 40°0.11
51 °
Elma, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low26° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Elma, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high78° (2022)
Record low21° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 39°0.1
51 °
Elma, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low27° (1991)
Sat, 0749° / 39°0.1
49 °
Elma, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.08
49 °
Elma, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low22° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elma, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elma, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.