Monthly outlook for Elma, NY: average high 74.3°, average low 58.5°. That is 1.2° below the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 August (84.3°), the coolest 23 August (48°).
74.3°/58.5°
Average high / low
−1.2°
Below normal
6 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
75.4°
77.1°
-0.9°
18 August – 27 August
72.6°
75.7°
-1.7°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
74.6°
—
August records over 66 years
91.6°3 August 1988All-time high
43.9°30 August 1965All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Buffalo (12 mi).
Sun, 0984° / 67°0
84 °
Elma, Sunday, 9 August
Clear. High 84°, low 67°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 1076° / 69°0.05
76 °
Elma, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 76°, low 69°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Tue, 1177° / 65°0.83
77 °
Elma, Tuesday, 11 August
Heavy rain. High 77°, low 65°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 1280° / 65°0.11
80 °
Elma, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 80°, low 65°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Thu, 1366° / 54°0.31
66 °
Elma, Thursday, 13 August
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.7 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 1467° / 49°0.03
67 °
Elma, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 1571° / 49°0.01
71 °
Elma, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 71°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 1675° / 54°0
75 °
Elma, Sunday, 16 August
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 54°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 1776° / 59°0
76 °
Elma, Monday, 17 August
Overcast. High 76°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 1875° / 62°0.27
75 °
Elma, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 75°, low 62°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Wed, 1973° / 57°0
73 °
Elma, Wednesday, 19 August
Overcast. High 73°, low 57°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2078° / 58°0
78 °
Elma, Thursday, 20 August
Overcast. High 78°, low 58°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 2177° / 61°0.01
77 °
Elma, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 77°, low 61°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 2268° / 53°0.02
68 °
Elma, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 2366° / 48°0.02
66 °
Elma, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2475° / 62°0.08
75 °
Elma, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (1968)
Record low47° (1971)
Tue, 2576° / 62°0.11
76 °
Elma, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high86° (2012)
Record low51° (1977)
Wed, 2676° / 63°0.06
76 °
Elma, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high86° (1962)
Record low49° (2017)
Thu, 2777° / 63°0.14
77 °
Elma, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high88° (2024)
Record low51° (2017)
Fri, 2876° / 64°0.17
76 °
Elma, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high85° (2021)
Record low50° (1986)
Sat, 2975° / 62°0.11
75 °
Elma, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high88° (2022)
Record low47° (1982)
Sun, 3075° / 62°0.06
75 °
Elma, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high87° (1991)
Record low44° (1965)
Mon, 3175° / 61°0.11
75 °
Elma, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high89° (1962)
Record low46° (1976)
Tue, 0175° / 60°0.06
75 °
Elma, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high86° (1973)
Record low48° (2025)
Wed, 0275° / 61°0.17
75 °
Elma, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high86° (2011)
Record low46° (2017)
Thu, 0374° / 61°0.11
74 °
Elma, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high87° (1973)
Record low48° (1976)
Fri, 0474° / 61°0.11
74 °
Elma, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high88° (1973)
Record low49° (1987)
Sat, 0574° / 61°0.09
74 °
Elma, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high88° (2018)
Record low49° (1994)
Sun, 0674° / 61°0.1
74 °
Elma, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high88° (2007)
Record low45° (1994)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elma, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elma, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.