Monthly outlook for Elizabethtown, NY: average high 50.5°, average low 39.1°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (73.4°), the coolest 16 November (22.4°).
50.5°/39.1°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
8 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
58°
48.7°
+5.2°
11 November – 20 November
38°
43.1°
-2.8°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
39.9°
—
November records over 66 years
72.1°6 November 2022All-time high
7.3°22 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Westport (8 mi).
Mon, 0263° / 43°0
63 °
Elizabethtown, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.4 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 0361° / 51°0.03
61 °
Elizabethtown, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind1.9 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Wed, 0473° / 48°0.02
73 °
Elizabethtown, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Thu, 0563° / 56°0.31
63 °
Elizabethtown, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 0664° / 48°0.11
64 °
Elizabethtown, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind5.3 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 0754° / 51°0.44
54 °
Elizabethtown, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 54°, low 51°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0853° / 49°0.07
53 °
Elizabethtown, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 0949° / 43°0.04
49 °
Elizabethtown, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 1044° / 40°0.06
44 °
Elizabethtown, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind7.8 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1140° / 30°0.09
40 °
Elizabethtown, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 40°, low 30°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1242° / 29°0
42 °
Elizabethtown, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.4 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 1335° / 33°0.54
35 °
Elizabethtown, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 35°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.5 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1433° / 27°0.17
33 °
Elizabethtown, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 27°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.1 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1537° / 25°0
37 °
Elizabethtown, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 37°, low 25°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.5 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1641° / 22°0
41 °
Elizabethtown, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 41°, low 22°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind5.3 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1742° / 31°0.1
42 °
Elizabethtown, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low17° (1972)
Wed, 1842° / 31°0.07
42 °
Elizabethtown, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (2021)
Record low23° (2020)
Thu, 1942° / 31°0.07
42 °
Elizabethtown, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high59° (1985)
Record low18° (1986)
Fri, 2042° / 31°0.13
42 °
Elizabethtown, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low17° (1986)
Sat, 2140° / 29°0.12
40 °
Elizabethtown, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high57° (1991)
Record low13° (1987)
Sun, 2240° / 29°0.09
40 °
Elizabethtown, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (1999)
Record low7° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 29°0.1
40 °
Elizabethtown, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low12° (1972)
Tue, 2440° / 29°0.06
40 °
Elizabethtown, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low15° (1971)
Wed, 2540° / 29°0.12
40 °
Elizabethtown, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low12° (2013)
Thu, 2640° / 30°0.16
40 °
Elizabethtown, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low14° (1978)
Fri, 2740° / 29°0.14
40 °
Elizabethtown, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low11° (1978)
Sat, 2841° / 30°0.15
41 °
Elizabethtown, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 29°0.07
39 °
Elizabethtown, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high58° (2005)
Record low13° (1989)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.1
39 °
Elizabethtown, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low15° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elizabethtown, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elizabethtown, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.