Monthly outlook for Ellicott, NY: average high 53.5°, average low 39.9°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (68.8°), the coolest 24 October (31.1°).
53.5°/39.9°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
58.6°
55.5°
+1.7°
24 October – 2 November
45°
53°
-4.4°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
48.4°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2019All-time high
17.6°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (9 mi).
Thu, 1567° / 49°0
67 °
Ellicott, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 1668° / 47°0.81
68 °
Ellicott, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind17 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point62°
Sat, 1747° / 40°0.03
47 °
Ellicott, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 1856° / 38°0
56 °
Ellicott, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1963° / 41°0
63 °
Ellicott, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2063° / 44°0
63 °
Ellicott, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.5 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2163° / 42°0
63 °
Ellicott, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2251° / 37°0.08
51 °
Ellicott, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 2341° / 35°0
41 °
Ellicott, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind17.5 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 2447° / 31°0
47 °
Ellicott, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.9 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 2553° / 31°0.1
53 °
Ellicott, Sunday, 25 October
Snow. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2641° / 37°0.33
41 °
Ellicott, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind19.9 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2745° / 33°0
45 °
Ellicott, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.3 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2841° / 38°0.12
41 °
Ellicott, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2943° / 38°0.01
43 °
Ellicott, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3053° / 40°0.11
53 °
Ellicott, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low28° (2011)
Sat, 3153° / 41°0.16
53 °
Ellicott, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (2020)
Sun, 0153° / 41°0.15
53 °
Ellicott, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1984)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 0253° / 40°0.2
53 °
Ellicott, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low26° (2020)
Tue, 0351° / 39°0.14
51 °
Ellicott, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (1961)
Record low28° (1966)
Wed, 0450° / 39°0.13
50 °
Ellicott, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low26° (1991)
Thu, 0550° / 39°0.15
50 °
Ellicott, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low22° (1991)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.15
49 °
Ellicott, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.12
48 °
Ellicott, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1992)
Sun, 0848° / 37°0.11
48 °
Ellicott, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 0949° / 37°0.12
49 °
Ellicott, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low19° (1992)
Tue, 1048° / 36°0.18
48 °
Ellicott, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low16° (2017)
Wed, 1146° / 36°0.18
46 °
Ellicott, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low15° (2017)
Thu, 1245° / 33°0.14
45 °
Ellicott, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1964)
Record low12° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellicott, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellicott, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.