Monthly outlook for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ: average high 65.3°, average low 49.2°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (70°), the coolest 4 November (42.8°).
65.3°/49.2°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
6 / 2
Wet days / normal
3.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
66.5°
65.6°
+0.5°
9 November – 18 November
63.3°
61.2°
+1.1°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
56.8°
—
October records over 66 years
96.6°1 October 2024All-time high
14.2°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Village of Oak Creek (15 mi).
Sat, 3170° / 53°0.06
70 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind0.8 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 0161° / 55°2.31
61 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point57°
Mon, 0266° / 48°0.07
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind1.7 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 0369° / 43°0
69 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 69°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 0469° / 43°0
69 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 69°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0569° / 51°0
69 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0666° / 55°0.17
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 0769° / 53°0
69 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind3.8 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0864° / 47°0
64 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 0964° / 48°0
64 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.1 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1066° / 51°0
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 1166° / 49°0.02
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.4 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1259° / 48°0.09
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.8 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1361° / 44°0
61 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.7 mph E
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 1464° / 44°0
64 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1561° / 38°0.05
61 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low12° (1985)
Mon, 1660° / 38°0.05
60 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low15° (2000)
Tue, 1759° / 38°0.02
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low10° (1964)
Wed, 1859° / 38°0.04
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low18° (1964)
Thu, 1959° / 36°0.05
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high74° (2007)
Record low13° (1964)
Fri, 2059° / 36°0.05
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low10° (1994)
Sat, 2158° / 37°0.08
58 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low15° (1964)
Sun, 2258° / 37°0.08
58 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low20° (1964)
Mon, 2357° / 36°0.05
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low19° (1963)
Tue, 2457° / 36°0.04
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low25° (1973)
Wed, 2556° / 36°0.06
56 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (2017)
Record low26° (2013)
Thu, 2655° / 35°0.06
55 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low19° (1983)
Fri, 2754° / 33°0.04
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low7° (1973)
Sat, 2854° / 33°0.07
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2011)
Record low12° (1983)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mesa Verde Estates, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.