Monthly outlook for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ: average high 66.6°, average low 46.9°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (71.2°), the coolest 9 November (42°).
66.6°/46.9°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
2 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
68.8°
63.8°
+2.8°
14 November – 23 November
63°
59.2°
+2.1°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
54.5°
—
November records over 66 years
82.4°5 November 2020All-time high
0.5°30 November 1975All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Village of Oak Creek (15 mi).
Thu, 0571° / 44°0
71 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind2.1 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 0663° / 43°0.09
63 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind2 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 0770° / 44°0
70 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 70°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 0869° / 45°0
69 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.7 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 0966° / 42°0
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind2.9 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1070° / 45°0
70 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind2.2 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1171° / 55°0
71 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1271° / 54°0
71 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1370° / 50°0
70 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 70°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1467° / 48°0
67 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1568° / 48°0
68 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1661° / 47°0.3
61 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 16 November
Rain. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind19.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 1756° / 43°0
56 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.6 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1859° / 45°0
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1967° / 50°0
67 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.3 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2059° / 36°0.05
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low10° (1994)
Sat, 2158° / 37°0.08
58 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low15° (1964)
Sun, 2258° / 37°0.08
58 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low20° (1964)
Mon, 2357° / 36°0.05
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low19° (1963)
Tue, 2457° / 36°0.04
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low25° (1973)
Wed, 2556° / 36°0.06
56 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (2017)
Record low26° (2013)
Thu, 2655° / 35°0.06
55 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low19° (1983)
Fri, 2754° / 33°0.04
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low7° (1973)
Sat, 2854° / 33°0.07
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2011)
Record low12° (1983)
Sun, 2953° / 33°0.1
53 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low19° (1988)
Mon, 3054° / 32°0.11
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (2021)
Record low1° (1975)
Tue, 0154° / 32°0.08
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low12° (1975)
Wed, 0254° / 32°0.03
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low2° (1991)
Thu, 0354° / 33°0.02
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2017)
Record low10° (1982)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mesa Verde Estates, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.