Monthly outlook for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ: average high 59.9°, average low 44°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 November (67.2°), the coolest 26 November (39.3°).
59.9°/44°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
4 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
62.4°
59.2°
+1.8°
24 November – 3 December
55.5°
54.5°
+0.6°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
52.8°
—
November records over 66 years
82.4°5 November 2020All-time high
0.5°30 November 1975All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Village of Oak Creek (15 mi).
Sun, 1567° / 46°0
67 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind0.7 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Mon, 1666° / 40°0
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind2.1 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 1756° / 47°0.68
56 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 17 November
Rain. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility2.5 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 1857° / 42°0.02
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind1.2 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Thu, 1964° / 41°0
64 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2059° / 44°0
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2163° / 47°0
63 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2267° / 47°0
67 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.2 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 2364° / 48°0
64 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2462° / 47°0.07
62 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2553° / 43°0.17
53 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2656° / 39°0
56 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2755° / 41°0
55 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2854° / 41°0.01
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.5 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2954° / 40°0
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.5 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3054° / 32°0.11
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (2021)
Record low1° (1975)
Tue, 0154° / 32°0.08
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low12° (1975)
Wed, 0254° / 32°0.03
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low2° (1991)
Thu, 0354° / 33°0.02
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2017)
Record low10° (1982)
Fri, 0455° / 33°0.08
55 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (1979)
Record low16° (2011)
Sat, 0554° / 33°0.06
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1989)
Record low12° (2011)
Sun, 0654° / 33°0.06
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high65° (2023)
Record low10° (1960)
Mon, 0753° / 33°0.08
53 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high66° (2015)
Record low-9° (1978)
Tue, 0852° / 32°0.09
52 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low-9° (1978)
Wed, 0952° / 31°0.03
52 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high66° (2015)
Record low-3° (1978)
Thu, 1052° / 30°0.04
52 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (2025)
Record low5° (1971)
Fri, 1153° / 32°0.03
53 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low12° (1978)
Sat, 1252° / 32°0.05
52 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2017)
Record low1° (1972)
Sun, 1351° / 31°0.07
51 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low9° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mesa Verde Estates, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.