Monthly outlook for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ: average high 60.7°, average low 47.6°. That is 2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 4.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (69.7°), the coolest 13 November (34.7°).
60.7°/47.6°
Average high / low
−2°
Below normal
11 / 2
Wet days / normal
4.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
65.4°
65.6°
-0.1°
9 November – 18 November
52.9°
61.2°
-4.6°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
56.8°
—
October records over 66 years
96.6°1 October 2024All-time high
14.2°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Village of Oak Creek (15 mi).
Sat, 3169° / 50°0.11
69 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind0.8 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 0160° / 55°1.47
60 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility3.8 mi
Dew point57°
Mon, 0266° / 49°0.09
66 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind1.7 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 0368° / 43°0
68 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 0470° / 43°0
70 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 70°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.3 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0567° / 54°0.02
67 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 54°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0665° / 57°0.08
65 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 0768° / 54°0.11
68 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0857° / 52°0.18
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 0961° / 49°0.11
61 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1057° / 48°0.62
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind20.6 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 1154° / 43°0.32
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 1245° / 38°0.49
45 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1349° / 35°0
49 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 1451° / 37°0
51 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1561° / 38°0.05
61 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low12° (1985)
Mon, 1660° / 38°0.05
60 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low15° (2000)
Tue, 1759° / 38°0.02
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low10° (1964)
Wed, 1859° / 38°0.04
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low18° (1964)
Thu, 1959° / 36°0.05
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high74° (2007)
Record low13° (1964)
Fri, 2059° / 36°0.05
59 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low10° (1994)
Sat, 2158° / 37°0.08
58 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low15° (1964)
Sun, 2258° / 37°0.08
58 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low20° (1964)
Mon, 2357° / 36°0.05
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high75° (2017)
Record low19° (1963)
Tue, 2457° / 36°0.04
57 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low25° (1973)
Wed, 2556° / 36°0.06
56 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (2017)
Record low26° (2013)
Thu, 2655° / 35°0.06
55 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low19° (1983)
Fri, 2754° / 33°0.04
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2017)
Record low7° (1973)
Sat, 2854° / 33°0.07
54 °
Mesa Verde Estates, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2011)
Record low12° (1983)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mesa Verde Estates, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mesa Verde Estates, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.