Monthly outlook for First Mesa, AZ: average high 64.2°, average low 49.7°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (72.4°), the coolest 15 October (36.9°).
64.2°/49.7°
Average high / low
−0.5°
Below normal
5 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
63.2°
66.5°
-1.8°
21 October – 30 October
65.9°
61.5°
+2.4°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
57.8°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°3 October 2024All-time high
13.8°31 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Second Mesa (7 mi).
Mon, 1260° / 50°0.09
60 °
First Mesa, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind26.2 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility5.4 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 1360° / 45°0.13
60 °
First Mesa, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1456° / 38°0
56 °
First Mesa, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.4 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 1559° / 37°0
59 °
First Mesa, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 1668° / 43°0
68 °
First Mesa, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.7 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 1766° / 48°0
66 °
First Mesa, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.2 mph E
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1867° / 50°0
67 °
First Mesa, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.3 mph E
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1967° / 51°0
67 °
First Mesa, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2068° / 56°0
68 °
First Mesa, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2168° / 52°0
68 °
First Mesa, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 2272° / 55°0
72 °
First Mesa, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2372° / 58°0.01
72 °
First Mesa, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 58°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2472° / 55°0.6
72 °
First Mesa, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.5 mph W
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2556° / 53°0.09
56 °
First Mesa, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19.1 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 2655° / 52°0.01
55 °
First Mesa, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2761° / 38°0.02
61 °
First Mesa, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2016)
Record low21° (2020)
Wed, 2861° / 38°0.03
61 °
First Mesa, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (2007)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2960° / 38°0.03
60 °
First Mesa, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high75° (1964)
Record low24° (1991)
Fri, 3058° / 36°0.03
58 °
First Mesa, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (2016)
Record low18° (1971)
Sat, 3158° / 36°0.02
58 °
First Mesa, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (2014)
Record low14° (1991)
Sun, 0158° / 36°0.01
58 °
First Mesa, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high72° (2008)
Record low22° (1971)
Mon, 0258° / 36°0.02
58 °
First Mesa, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low23° (1989)
Tue, 0358° / 35°0.02
58 °
First Mesa, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low24° (1971)
Wed, 0458° / 36°0.02
58 °
First Mesa, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high70° (2009)
Record low24° (1992)
Thu, 0559° / 36°0.02
59 °
First Mesa, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high71° (2009)
Record low27° (1974)
Fri, 0658° / 35°0.01
58 °
First Mesa, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low22° (2013)
Sat, 0758° / 36°0.02
58 °
First Mesa, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low23° (1996)
Sun, 0856° / 36°0.03
56 °
First Mesa, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2006)
Record low19° (2000)
Mon, 0955° / 34°0.03
55 °
First Mesa, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (2005)
Record low14° (2011)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for First Mesa, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in First Mesa, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.