As of 16:45 MST

Weather in First Mesa, AZ

57°

First Mesa, Monday, 12 October, 16:45

Partly cloudy. Feels like 55°. High 60°, low 50°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind20.9 mph SW

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point43°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for First Mesa, AZ: average high 59.8°, average low 43.9°. That is 2.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (68.6°), the coolest 15 October (35.9°).

59.8°/43.9°

Average high / low

−2.6°

Below normal

2 / 2

Wet days / normal

0.4 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
12 October – 21 October	61.4°	66°	-2.6°
22 October – 31 October	57.2°	60.9°	-2°
1 November – 10 November	at normal	57.5°	—

October records over 66 years

86.4°3 October 2024All-time high

13.8°31 October 1991All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Second Mesa (7 mi).

Tue, 1360° / 44°

0.26

60 °

First Mesa, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 60°, low 44°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind21.3 mph SW

Humidity53%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Wed, 1454° / 37°

0.02

54 °

First Mesa, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 54°, low 37°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind9.5 mph W

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point35°

Thu, 1560° / 36°

60 °

First Mesa, Thursday, 15 October

Clear. High 60°, low 36°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind14.9 mph NE

Humidity43%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point37°

Fri, 1663° / 43°

63 °

First Mesa, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 63°, low 43°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind12.9 mph E

Humidity33%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point31°

Sat, 1763° / 45°

63 °

First Mesa, Saturday, 17 October

Mostly clear. High 63°, low 45°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind10.4 mph SE

Humidity42%

Visibility—

Dew point34°

Sun, 1864° / 46°

64 °

First Mesa, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind5.6 mph SW

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

Mon, 1969° / 54°

69 °

First Mesa, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 69°, low 54°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind10.6 mph S

Humidity38%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

Tue, 2066° / 54°

66 °

First Mesa, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 66°, low 54°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind20.8 mph SW

Humidity35%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Wed, 2156° / 40°

0.01

56 °

First Mesa, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 56°, low 40°.

Pressure29.65 inHg

Wind37.5 mph SW

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Thu, 2249° / 38°

49 °

First Mesa, Thursday, 22 October

Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 38°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind8.1 mph W

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Fri, 2355° / 40°

55 °

First Mesa, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 55°, low 40°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind11.4 mph N

Humidity38%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Sat, 2459° / 42°

59 °

First Mesa, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 59°, low 42°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind5.5 mph N

Humidity29%

Visibility—

Dew point21°

Sun, 2562° / 46°

62 °

First Mesa, Sunday, 25 October

Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind11.3 mph NW

Humidity23%

Visibility—

Dew point19°

Mon, 2658° / 45°

58 °

First Mesa, Monday, 26 October

Clear. High 58°, low 45°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind6.9 mph NE

Humidity26%

Visibility—

Dew point19°

Tue, 2760° / 45°

60 °

First Mesa, Tuesday, 27 October

Clear. High 60°, low 45°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind3.7 mph NE

Humidity22%

Visibility—

Dew point17°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Wed, 2861° / 38°

0.03

61 °

First Mesa, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low38°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high73° (2007)

Record low20° (1970)

Thu, 2960° / 38°

0.03

60 °

First Mesa, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low38°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high75° (1964)

Record low24° (1991)

Fri, 3058° / 36°

0.03

58 °

First Mesa, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high74° (2016)

Record low18° (1971)

Sat, 3158° / 36°

0.02

58 °

First Mesa, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high73° (2014)

Record low14° (1991)

Sun, 0158° / 36°

0.01

58 °

First Mesa, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.01 in

Chance of precipitation5%

Record high72° (2008)

Record low22° (1971)

Mon, 0258° / 36°

0.02

58 °

First Mesa, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation8%

Record high71° (2020)

Record low23° (1989)

Tue, 0358° / 35°

0.02

58 °

First Mesa, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low35°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high71° (2025)

Record low24° (1971)

Wed, 0458° / 36°

0.02

58 °

First Mesa, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation7%

Record high70° (2009)

Record low24° (1992)

Thu, 0559° / 36°

0.02

59 °

First Mesa, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high59°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation7%

Record high71° (2009)

Record low27° (1974)

Fri, 0658° / 35°

0.01

58 °

First Mesa, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low35°

Average precipitation0.01 in

Chance of precipitation10%

Record high73° (2023)

Record low22° (2013)

Sat, 0758° / 36°

0.02

58 °

First Mesa, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high72° (1999)

Record low23° (1996)

Sun, 0856° / 36°

0.03

56 °

First Mesa, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high56°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high71° (2006)

Record low19° (2000)

Mon, 0955° / 34°

0.03

55 °

First Mesa, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high55°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high70° (2005)

Record low14° (2011)

Tue, 1055° / 33°

0.02

55 °

First Mesa, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high55°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high69° (1980)

Record low20° (2020)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for First Mesa, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in First Mesa, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.