Monthly outlook for Bear Flat, AZ: average high 71.7°, average low 51.1°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 7 October (81.4°), the coolest 14 October (38.4°).
71.7°/51.1°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
3 / 2
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 October – 15 October
70.2°
69°
+0.7°
16 October – 25 October
74.4°
65.6°
+4.9°
26 October – 4 November
at normal
61.2°
—
October records over 66 years
85.6°4 October 2024All-time high
17.6°31 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hunter Creek (3 mi).
Wed, 0781° / 56°0
81 °
Bear Flat, Wednesday, 7 October
Partly cloudy. High 81°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind1.8 mph NW
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 0879° / 55°0.02
79 °
Bear Flat, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity23%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Fri, 0976° / 57°0
76 °
Bear Flat, Friday, 9 October
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SE
Humidity30%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 1073° / 56°0.01
73 °
Bear Flat, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sun, 1167° / 52°0.68
67 °
Bear Flat, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 1263° / 52°0.71
63 °
Bear Flat, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 1356° / 42°0.65
56 °
Bear Flat, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 1457° / 38°0.02
57 °
Bear Flat, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.7 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1569° / 45°0
69 °
Bear Flat, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1673° / 49°0
73 °
Bear Flat, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1774° / 50°0
74 °
Bear Flat, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NE
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1874° / 51°0
74 °
Bear Flat, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NE
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1973° / 52°0
73 °
Bear Flat, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 73°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2075° / 52°0
75 °
Bear Flat, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NE
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 2176° / 52°0
76 °
Bear Flat, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 76°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2264° / 44°0.05
64 °
Bear Flat, Thursday, 22 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2003)
Record low29° (1984)
Fri, 2365° / 44°0.06
65 °
Bear Flat, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high79° (2003)
Record low31° (1969)
Sat, 2465° / 44°0.05
65 °
Bear Flat, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high76° (2014)
Record low30° (1975)
Sun, 2564° / 43°0.05
64 °
Bear Flat, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (2008)
Record low27° (2022)
Mon, 2663° / 42°0.04
63 °
Bear Flat, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low27° (2020)
Tue, 2762° / 42°0.04
62 °
Bear Flat, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low21° (2020)
Wed, 2863° / 41°0.04
63 °
Bear Flat, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high76° (2008)
Record low27° (2020)
Thu, 2961° / 42°0.05
61 °
Bear Flat, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high75° (2008)
Record low26° (2009)
Fri, 3060° / 40°0.03
60 °
Bear Flat, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (2014)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 3160° / 40°0.03
60 °
Bear Flat, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2008)
Record low18° (1991)
Sun, 0160° / 39°0.04
60 °
Bear Flat, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high74° (2008)
Record low24° (1991)
Mon, 0261° / 39°0.04
61 °
Bear Flat, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high74° (2009)
Record low26° (1961)
Tue, 0361° / 39°0.06
61 °
Bear Flat, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2009)
Record low24° (1961)
Wed, 0461° / 39°0.03
61 °
Bear Flat, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (2009)
Record low18° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Flat, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Flat, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.