Weather in Modest Town, VA
Modest Town, Tuesday, 13 October, 08:22
Clear. Feels like 61°. High 75°, low 58°.
Monthly outlook for Modest Town, VA: average high 67.5°, average low 57°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (80.2°), the coolest 18 October (44.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 October – 22 October | 69.1° | 66.2° | +1.6° |
| 23 October – 1 November | 64.9° | 63.4° | +0.9° |
| 2 November – 11 November | at normal | 60.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (15 mi).
0Modest Town, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 79°, low 69°.
0
Modest Town, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 64°.
0.39
Modest Town, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 80°, low 62°.
0.13Modest Town, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 60°, low 49°.
0Modest Town, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 44°.
0Modest Town, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 53°.
0Modest Town, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 62°.
0Modest Town, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 59°.
0Modest Town, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 58°.
0Modest Town, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 61°.
0Modest Town, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 62°.
0Modest Town, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 61°.
0.33Modest Town, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
0Modest Town, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 47°.
0Modest Town, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 65°, low 51°.
0.24
Modest Town, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Modest Town, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Modest Town, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Modest Town, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Modest Town, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Modest Town, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Modest Town, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Modest Town, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Modest Town, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Modest Town, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Modest Town, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Modest Town, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Modest Town, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Modest Town, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Modest Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Modest Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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