Weather in Modest Town, VA
Modest Town, Friday, 16 October, 07:47
Mostly clear. Feels like 67°. High 82°, low 63°.
Monthly outlook for Modest Town, VA: average high 64.9°, average low 56.9°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (82.1°), the coolest 18 October (45.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 63.8° | 65° | -0.7° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 66.8° | 62.6° | +2.3° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 58.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (15 mi).
0.36
Modest Town, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 65°, low 49°.
0
Modest Town, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
0Modest Town, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 52°.
0.67Modest Town, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 59°, low 56°.
0.21Modest Town, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 58°.
0.18Modest Town, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 59°.
0.13Modest Town, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 56°.
0Modest Town, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 54°.
0.34Modest Town, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 60°.
0.04Modest Town, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 57°.
0Modest Town, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 54°.
0Modest Town, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 60°.
0Modest Town, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 58°.
0.3Modest Town, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 62°.
0.24Modest Town, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 71°, low 65°.
0.11
Modest Town, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Modest Town, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Modest Town, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Modest Town, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Modest Town, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Modest Town, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Modest Town, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Modest Town, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Modest Town, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Modest Town, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Modest Town, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Modest Town, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Modest Town, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Modest Town, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Modest Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Modest Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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