Monthly outlook for Modest Town, VA: average high 61.5°, average low 50.8°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (68.8°), the coolest 8 November (38.4°).
61.5°/50.8°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
64.3°
63.2°
+0.6°
3 November – 12 November
56.7°
59.7°
-1.7°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
55.8°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (15 mi).
Sun, 2564° / 44°0
64 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 2664° / 44°0
64 °
Modest Town, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2769° / 53°0
69 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 2865° / 53°0
65 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10.3 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2969° / 54°0
69 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.6 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3065° / 51°0
65 °
Modest Town, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 3163° / 55°0
63 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0161° / 55°0
61 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0262° / 58°0.04
62 °
Modest Town, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 0360° / 59°0.29
60 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 60°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 0466° / 60°1.14
66 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 0565° / 57°2
65 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind23.8 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Fri, 0654° / 46°0.04
54 °
Modest Town, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind30.5 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 0747° / 42°0
47 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind14.5 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sun, 0848° / 38°0
48 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0959° / 48°0.07
59 °
Modest Town, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 49°0.12
60 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low36° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 48°0.12
58 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1257° / 47°0.24
57 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low35° (1996)
Fri, 1356° / 45°0.15
56 °
Modest Town, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 45°0.08
56 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low30° (1986)
Sun, 1557° / 46°0.12
57 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Mon, 1657° / 46°0.08
57 °
Modest Town, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low28° (1967)
Tue, 1756° / 45°0.11
56 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1856° / 44°0.04
56 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low32° (2014)
Thu, 1956° / 44°0.09
56 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low28° (2014)
Fri, 2056° / 45°0.07
56 °
Modest Town, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low32° (1984)
Sat, 2155° / 43°0.11
55 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low30° (1987)
Sun, 2254° / 44°0.15
54 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (2007)
Record low28° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Modest Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Modest Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.