Monthly outlook for Modest Town, VA: average high 67.3°, average low 56.6°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (80.1°), the coolest 18 October (44.1°).
67.3°/56.6°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
69.1°
66.2°
+1.6°
23 October – 1 November
64.3°
63.4°
+0.5°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
60.3°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Chincoteague (15 mi).
Wed, 1478° / 62°0
78 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 78°, low 62°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Thu, 1572° / 64°0
72 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 64°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Fri, 1680° / 64°0.2
80 °
Modest Town, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 80°, low 64°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Sat, 1760° / 50°0.21
60 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind19.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1857° / 44°0
57 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1967° / 52°0
67 °
Modest Town, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 2069° / 62°0
69 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 62°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 2167° / 60°0
67 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2265° / 59°0
65 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2367° / 59°0
67 °
Modest Town, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 59°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 2471° / 61°0
71 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 2570° / 60°0
70 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2661° / 52°0
61 °
Modest Town, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2759° / 51°0
59 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2857° / 48°0
57 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2962° / 52°0.24
62 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (1984)
Record low36° (1965)
Fri, 3062° / 51°0.08
62 °
Modest Town, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low39° (1965)
Sat, 3163° / 52°0.07
63 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low38° (1975)
Sun, 0164° / 53°0.11
64 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Mon, 0263° / 53°0.12
63 °
Modest Town, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1971)
Record low38° (1976)
Tue, 0362° / 51°0.09
62 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1974)
Record low39° (1996)
Wed, 0461° / 50°0.1
61 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low37° (2006)
Thu, 0561° / 51°0.11
61 °
Modest Town, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low37° (2006)
Fri, 0660° / 50°0.09
60 °
Modest Town, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low34° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 49°0.08
60 °
Modest Town, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low36° (1962)
Sun, 0859° / 48°0.07
59 °
Modest Town, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1986)
Record low35° (1960)
Mon, 0959° / 48°0.07
59 °
Modest Town, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 49°0.12
60 °
Modest Town, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low36° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 48°0.12
58 °
Modest Town, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Modest Town, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Modest Town, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.