Weather in Moss Neck, VA
Moss Neck, Sunday, 18 October, 12:15
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 58°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Moss Neck, VA: average high 67°, average low 49.4°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (77.7°), the coolest 18 October (39.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 64.7° | 65.3° | -0.4° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 70.8° | 62.7° | +4.5° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 58° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fredericksburg (12 mi).
0Moss Neck, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
0Moss Neck, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 47°.
0Moss Neck, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
0Moss Neck, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
0Moss Neck, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 45°.
0Moss Neck, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 61°, low 40°.
0Moss Neck, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0
Moss Neck, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 48°.
0Moss Neck, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
0Moss Neck, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 54°.
0.43
Moss Neck, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 64°, low 59°.
0Moss Neck, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 78°, low 60°.
0Moss Neck, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 61°.
0.09Moss Neck, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 59°.
0Moss Neck, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 50°.
0.06
Moss Neck, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Moss Neck, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Moss Neck, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Moss Neck, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Moss Neck, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Moss Neck, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Moss Neck, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Moss Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Moss Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24
Moss Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Moss Neck, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Moss Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Moss Neck, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Moss Neck, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Moss Neck, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Moss Neck, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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