Weather in Moss Neck, VA
Moss Neck, Friday, 16 October, 04:32
Overcast. Feels like 62°. High 84°, low 61°.
Monthly outlook for Moss Neck, VA: average high 65.1°, average low 50.9°. That is 0° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (84.1°), the coolest 18 October (41.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 63.9° | 66° | -1.2° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 66.9° | 63.3° | +2° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 58.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fredericksburg (12 mi).
0.26
Moss Neck, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 65°, low 46°.
0
Moss Neck, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 42°.
0Moss Neck, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 44°.
0Moss Neck, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 50°.
0Moss Neck, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 51°.
0Moss Neck, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 45°.
0
Moss Neck, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 49°.
0
Moss Neck, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 45°.
0.41Moss Neck, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 58°, low 49°.
0.04Moss Neck, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 55°.
0Moss Neck, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 54°.
0Moss Neck, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 55°.
0.03Moss Neck, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 53°.
0.11Moss Neck, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.
0.15Moss Neck, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 56°.
0.11Moss Neck, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Moss Neck, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Moss Neck, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Moss Neck, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Moss Neck, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Moss Neck, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Moss Neck, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Moss Neck, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Moss Neck, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Moss Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Moss Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24
Moss Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Moss Neck, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Moss Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Moss Neck, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Moss Neck, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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