As of 03:59 EDT

Weather in Moss Neck, VA

73°

Moss Neck, Thursday, 15 October, 03:59

Overcast. Feels like 75°. High 73°, low 60°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind7.3 mph N

Humidity86%

Visibility3.2 mi

Dew point69°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Moss Neck, VA: average high 68.6°, average low 51.6°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (84.7°), the coolest 18 October (41.8°).

68.6°/51.6°

Average high / low

+1.8°

Above normal

7 / 4

Wet days / normal

2.5 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
15 October – 24 October	69.8°	66.6°	+1.8°
25 October – 3 November	66.6°	63.6°	+1.6°
4 November – 13 November	at normal	59.3°	—

October records over 66 years

95.5°2 October 2019All-time high

32.2°28 October 1976All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fredericksburg (12 mi).

Fri, 1685° / 61°

0.11

85 °

Moss Neck, Friday, 16 October

Rain. High 85°, low 61°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind10.1 mph SW

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point67°

Sat, 1764° / 49°

0.04

64 °

Moss Neck, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 64°, low 49°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind13.7 mph N

Humidity54%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Sun, 1858° / 42°

58 °

Moss Neck, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 58°, low 42°.

Pressure30.62 inHg

Wind6.3 mph NE

Humidity51%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point36°

Mon, 1963° / 42°

63 °

Moss Neck, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 63°, low 42°.

Pressure30.53 inHg

Wind3.3 mph NE

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Tue, 2069° / 42°

69 °

Moss Neck, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 69°, low 42°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind5.7 mph NE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point42°

Wed, 2171° / 50°

71 °

Moss Neck, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 71°, low 50°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind5.5 mph NE

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Thu, 2270° / 50°

70 °

Moss Neck, Thursday, 22 October

Mostly clear. High 70°, low 50°.

Pressure30.47 inHg

Wind6.4 mph E

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point51°

Fri, 2372° / 50°

72 °

Moss Neck, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 72°, low 50°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind4.9 mph SE

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Sat, 2474° / 51°

74 °

Moss Neck, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 74°, low 51°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind6.3 mph E

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point48°

Sun, 2575° / 51°

75 °

Moss Neck, Sunday, 25 October

Clear. High 75°, low 51°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind5.7 mph S

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point51°

Mon, 2665° / 58°

0.16

65 °

Moss Neck, Monday, 26 October

Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind3.9 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point61°

Tue, 2764° / 58°

0.2

64 °

Moss Neck, Tuesday, 27 October

Light rain. High 64°, low 58°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind6.3 mph N

Humidity99%

Visibility—

Dew point63°

Wed, 2863° / 58°

0.88

63 °

Moss Neck, Wednesday, 28 October

Rain. High 63°, low 58°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind10.8 mph E

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point60°

Thu, 2970° / 56°

0.94

70 °

Moss Neck, Thursday, 29 October

Heavy rain. High 70°, low 56°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind13.4 mph NW

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point61°

Fri, 3063° / 49°

63 °

Moss Neck, Friday, 30 October

Clear. High 63°, low 49°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind11.8 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point42°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 3164° / 48°

0.05

64 °

Moss Neck, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low48°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high79° (2019)

Record low37° (1968)

Sun, 0164° / 49°

0.11

64 °

Moss Neck, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high83° (1974)

Record low37° (2002)

Mon, 0264° / 49°

0.11

64 °

Moss Neck, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high81° (1971)

Record low34° (1976)

Tue, 0364° / 47°

0.06

64 °

Moss Neck, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high80° (2016)

Record low34° (2023)

Wed, 0461° / 46°

0.13

61 °

Moss Neck, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high82° (1974)

Record low32° (2006)

Thu, 0561° / 46°

0.1

61 °

Moss Neck, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high79° (1961)

Record low30° (1991)

Fri, 0661° / 46°

0.08

61 °

Moss Neck, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high80° (2024)

Record low30° (1991)

Sat, 0760° / 45°

0.11

60 °

Moss Neck, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low45°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high80° (2024)

Record low30° (1962)

Sun, 0860° / 44°

0.12

60 °

Moss Neck, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high77° (1975)

Record low31° (1967)

Mon, 0960° / 44°

0.06

60 °

Moss Neck, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high81° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Tue, 1060° / 44°

0.14

60 °

Moss Neck, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high76° (1975)

Record low33° (1973)

Wed, 1158° / 44°

0.21

58 °

Moss Neck, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.21 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high75° (2024)

Record low24° (2017)

Thu, 1256° / 43°

0.24

56 °

Moss Neck, Thursday, 12 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high56°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.24 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high74° (2022)

Record low27° (1987)

Fri, 1355° / 41°

0.09

55 °

Moss Neck, Friday, 13 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high55°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high74° (1985)

Record low24° (2019)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Moss Neck, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Moss Neck, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.