Monthly outlook for Paynes Mill, VA: average high 63°, average low 40.3°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (70.4°), the coolest 29 October (33.3°).
63°/40.3°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
64.3°
64.7°
-0.2°
29 October – 7 November
60.9°
62°
-0.6°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
57.2°
—
October records over 66 years
97.3°3 October 2019All-time high
28.8°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Charlottesville (12 mi).
Tue, 2070° / 40°0
70 °
Paynes Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 70°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 2163° / 41°0
63 °
Paynes Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Thu, 2267° / 40°0
67 °
Paynes Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 67°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Fri, 2357° / 43°0
57 °
Paynes Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 2456° / 38°0
56 °
Paynes Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 2563° / 36°0
63 °
Paynes Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 36°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind3.5 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 2668° / 41°0
68 °
Paynes Mill, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2769° / 48°0
69 °
Paynes Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.1 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2863° / 44°0.05
63 °
Paynes Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2953° / 33°0
53 °
Paynes Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 3060° / 34°0
60 °
Paynes Mill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 60°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sat, 3163° / 35°0
63 °
Paynes Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 63°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 0167° / 39°0
67 °
Paynes Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 67°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 0266° / 45°0.01
66 °
Paynes Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 0359° / 50°0.02
59 °
Paynes Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0460° / 43°0.17
60 °
Paynes Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low27° (2006)
Thu, 0560° / 43°0.09
60 °
Paynes Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (1975)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 43°0.07
60 °
Paynes Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0760° / 42°0.1
60 °
Paynes Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 41°0.09
59 °
Paynes Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low27° (1967)
Mon, 0960° / 41°0.06
60 °
Paynes Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low23° (2019)
Tue, 1059° / 41°0.15
59 °
Paynes Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (1975)
Record low29° (2003)
Wed, 1158° / 40°0.2
58 °
Paynes Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low22° (2018)
Thu, 1256° / 40°0.25
56 °
Paynes Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low22° (1987)
Fri, 1356° / 38°0.07
56 °
Paynes Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low22° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 38°0.06
56 °
Paynes Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low20° (1968)
Sun, 1557° / 39°0.09
57 °
Paynes Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (1993)
Record low26° (1969)
Mon, 1656° / 38°0.11
56 °
Paynes Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (1964)
Record low24° (1967)
Tue, 1755° / 38°0.07
55 °
Paynes Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low27° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Paynes Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Paynes Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.