Monthly outlook for Frederick Heights, VA: average high 58.7°, average low 39.6°. That is 1.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 October (72.2°), the coolest 29 October (30.4°).
58.7°/39.6°
Average high / low
−1.3°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
62.4°
61.5°
+0.5°
30 October – 8 November
52.6°
58.8°
-3.4°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
53.5°
—
October records over 66 years
90.9°2 October 2019All-time high
23.4°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (2 mi).
Wed, 2166° / 37°0
66 °
Frederick Heights, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.3 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2266° / 47°0
66 °
Frederick Heights, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Fri, 2357° / 42°0
57 °
Frederick Heights, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 2457° / 38°0
57 °
Frederick Heights, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind3.7 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 2563° / 34°0
63 °
Frederick Heights, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2670° / 47°0
70 °
Frederick Heights, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2772° / 51°0
72 °
Frederick Heights, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2851° / 35°0
51 °
Frederick Heights, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 2954° / 30°0
54 °
Frederick Heights, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 54°, low 30°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.4 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Fri, 3055° / 35°0
55 °
Frederick Heights, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 3151° / 45°0
51 °
Frederick Heights, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0159° / 40°0
59 °
Frederick Heights, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 0249° / 34°0
49 °
Frederick Heights, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 0352° / 42°0.18
52 °
Frederick Heights, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 0450° / 42°0.58
50 °
Frederick Heights, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0558° / 42°0.1
58 °
Frederick Heights, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (1961)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0658° / 42°0.06
58 °
Frederick Heights, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0756° / 41°0.11
56 °
Frederick Heights, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1962)
Sun, 0856° / 40°0.13
56 °
Frederick Heights, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0957° / 40°0.06
57 °
Frederick Heights, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1056° / 40°0.14
56 °
Frederick Heights, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low26° (2003)
Wed, 1155° / 39°0.14
55 °
Frederick Heights, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1253° / 38°0.2
53 °
Frederick Heights, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low26° (1987)
Fri, 1352° / 37°0.07
52 °
Frederick Heights, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1453° / 37°0.06
53 °
Frederick Heights, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low22° (1986)
Sun, 1554° / 37°0.1
54 °
Frederick Heights, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1973)
Record low24° (1996)
Mon, 1653° / 37°0.11
53 °
Frederick Heights, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low17° (1995)
Tue, 1751° / 36°0.08
51 °
Frederick Heights, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2023)
Record low12° (1995)
Wed, 1852° / 36°0.05
52 °
Frederick Heights, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Frederick Heights, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Frederick Heights, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.