Weather in Chancetown, VA
Chancetown, Monday, 26 October, 14:05
Clear. Feels like 61°. High 64°, low 42°.
Monthly outlook for Chancetown, VA: average high 64.2°, average low 53°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (72.3°), the coolest 26 October (41.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 October – 4 November | 67.9° | 62.2° | +3.1° |
| 5 November – 14 November | 58° | 58.5° | -0.3° |
| 15 November – 24 November | at normal | 55.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Willis Wharf (10 mi).
0Chancetown, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 68°, low 47°.
0
Chancetown, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 46°.
0
Chancetown, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 56°.
0Chancetown, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 56°.
0
Chancetown, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 57°.
0Chancetown, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 58°.
0Chancetown, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 62°.
0.22
Chancetown, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 64°.
0.63Chancetown, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 68°, low 57°.
0Chancetown, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 61°, low 54°.
0.17Chancetown, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
0.08Chancetown, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
0.03Chancetown, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
0Chancetown, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
0Chancetown, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 47°.
0.13Chancetown, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.25
Chancetown, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chancetown, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chancetown, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chancetown, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chancetown, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chancetown, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chancetown, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chancetown, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chancetown, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chancetown, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chancetown, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chancetown, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chancetown, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chancetown, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chancetown, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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