Weather in Nelson Park, VA
Nelson Park, Friday, 16 October, 10:22
Overcast. Feels like 69°. High 83°, low 64°.
Monthly outlook for Nelson Park, VA: average high 66.1°, average low 53.8°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (83.1°), the coolest 18 October (45.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 64° | 66.1° | -1.2° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 69.5° | 63.5° | +3.4° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 59.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (9 mi).
0.31
Nelson Park, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
0
Nelson Park, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 46°.
0.01Nelson Park, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 51°.
0
Nelson Park, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 55°.
0.15Nelson Park, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 61°, low 56°.
0Nelson Park, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 54°.
0Nelson Park, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
0Nelson Park, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 51°.
0Nelson Park, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 57°.
0.08Nelson Park, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 59°.
0Nelson Park, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 70°, low 55°.
0Nelson Park, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
0Nelson Park, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 55°.
0Nelson Park, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 54°.
0Nelson Park, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 55°.
0.15Nelson Park, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Nelson Park, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Nelson Park, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Nelson Park, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Nelson Park, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Nelson Park, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Nelson Park, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Nelson Park, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Nelson Park, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Nelson Park, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Nelson Park, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.3Nelson Park, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Nelson Park, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Nelson Park, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nelson Park, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nelson Park, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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