Weather in Nelson Park, VA
Nelson Park, Monday, 19 October, 06:35
Clear. Feels like 39°. High 64°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Nelson Park, VA: average high 63.2°, average low 45.5°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (74.2°), the coolest 1 November (37.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October – 28 October | 66.3° | 65.3° | +0.6° |
| 29 October – 7 November | 58° | 62.6° | -2.5° |
| 8 November – 17 November | at normal | 58.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (9 mi).
0
Nelson Park, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 68°, low 47°.
0Nelson Park, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 49°.
0Nelson Park, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
0
Nelson Park, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 46°.
0
Nelson Park, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 44°.
0Nelson Park, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 54°.
0Nelson Park, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
0Nelson Park, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 53°.
0Nelson Park, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 54°.
0.07
Nelson Park, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 44°.
0Nelson Park, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 42°.
0Nelson Park, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 53°, low 38°.
0Nelson Park, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 58°, low 37°.
0
Nelson Park, Monday, 2 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 39°.
0Nelson Park, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 44°.
0.15
Nelson Park, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Nelson Park, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Nelson Park, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Nelson Park, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Nelson Park, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Nelson Park, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Nelson Park, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Nelson Park, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.3Nelson Park, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Nelson Park, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Nelson Park, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Nelson Park, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Nelson Park, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Nelson Park, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nelson Park, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nelson Park, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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