Monthly outlook for Nelson Park, VA: average high 65.2°, average low 51°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (76.7°), the coolest 9 November (39.7°).
65.2°/51°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
69.4°
62.9°
+3.6°
7 November – 16 November
58.2°
58.9°
-0.4°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
56°
—
October records over 66 years
93.7°2 October 2019All-time high
35.8°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (9 mi).
Thu, 2972° / 50°0
72 °
Nelson Park, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind1.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Fri, 3077° / 50°0
77 °
Nelson Park, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 77°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind2.4 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sat, 3163° / 50°0
63 °
Nelson Park, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 0168° / 49°0
68 °
Nelson Park, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0270° / 48°0.03
70 °
Nelson Park, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0365° / 55°0.69
65 °
Nelson Park, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 0466° / 64°0.33
66 °
Nelson Park, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 66°, low 64°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.1 mph E
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 0571° / 64°1.27
71 °
Nelson Park, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 64°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 0672° / 56°0.13
72 °
Nelson Park, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0757° / 46°0
57 °
Nelson Park, Saturday, 7 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0854° / 42°0
54 °
Nelson Park, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.5 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0955° / 40°0
55 °
Nelson Park, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1059° / 43°0
59 °
Nelson Park, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.8 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1161° / 52°0.31
61 °
Nelson Park, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.4 mph E
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 1263° / 57°0.32
63 °
Nelson Park, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind11 mph SE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1357° / 46°0.16
57 °
Nelson Park, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low29° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 45°0.07
56 °
Nelson Park, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1985)
Record low29° (2019)
Sun, 1558° / 46°0.15
58 °
Nelson Park, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (1993)
Record low33° (1969)
Mon, 1658° / 46°0.09
58 °
Nelson Park, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2005)
Record low29° (1967)
Tue, 1757° / 46°0.11
57 °
Nelson Park, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low33° (1967)
Wed, 1857° / 45°0.04
57 °
Nelson Park, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2021)
Record low33° (2014)
Thu, 1957° / 45°0.1
57 °
Nelson Park, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1964)
Record low28° (2014)
Fri, 2057° / 46°0.05
57 °
Nelson Park, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low35° (1984)
Sat, 2156° / 45°0.12
56 °
Nelson Park, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1991)
Record low32° (1987)
Sun, 2255° / 44°0.16
55 °
Nelson Park, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2007)
Record low29° (2000)
Mon, 2354° / 43°0.08
54 °
Nelson Park, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1992)
Record low31° (2018)
Tue, 2456° / 44°0.09
56 °
Nelson Park, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low27° (1970)
Wed, 2556° / 43°0.11
56 °
Nelson Park, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low28° (2013)
Thu, 2657° / 45°0.13
57 °
Nelson Park, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low33° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nelson Park, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nelson Park, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.