Weather in Ellerson Mill, VA
Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 4 November, 18:24
Overcast. Feels like 66°. High 75°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Ellerson Mill, VA: average high 59.2°, average low 44.2°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (77.1°), the coolest 16 November (34.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 November – 13 November | 64.1° | 60.8° | +1.8° |
| 14 November – 23 November | 51° | 57.2° | -3.4° |
| 24 November – 3 December | at normal | 55.5° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richmond (8 mi).
0.09
Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 77°, low 62°.
1.12Ellerson Mill, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 58°.
0.14Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 62°, low 47°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 62°, low 44°.
0Ellerson Mill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
0Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
0Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 51°.
0Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 55°, low 44°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 38°.
0.01Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 38°.
0.01Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
0Ellerson Mill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 34°.
0Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 40°.
0Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 50°, low 35°.
0Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
0.05
Ellerson Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Ellerson Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Ellerson Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellerson Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellerson Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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