Weather in Ellerson Mill, VA
Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 12 November, 21:39
Mostly clear. Feels like 52°. High 66°, low 49°.
Monthly outlook for Ellerson Mill, VA: average high 59.8°, average low 42.9°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (69.2°), the coolest 27 November (32.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 58.9° | 57.8° | +0.6° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 61.2° | 55.7° | +3.1° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 51.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richmond (8 mi).
0
Ellerson Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
0Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 39°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 37°.
0Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 36°.
0Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 35°.
0Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
0Ellerson Mill, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
0Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
0Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 48°.
0Ellerson Mill, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 68°, low 48°.
0Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 69°, low 52°.
0.8
Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 69°, low 56°.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 38°.
0Ellerson Mill, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 44°, low 33°.
0.13Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Ellerson Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16
Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ellerson Mill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellerson Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellerson Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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