Weather in Ellerson Mill, VA
Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 7 November, 17:06
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 59°, low 49°.
Monthly outlook for Ellerson Mill, VA: average high 58.5°, average low 43.8°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (66.4°), the coolest 14 November (36.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 November – 16 November | 58.3° | 59.7° | -0.8° |
| 17 November – 26 November | 59° | 56.7° | +1.3° |
| 27 November – 6 December | at normal | 54.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richmond (8 mi).
0
Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0Ellerson Mill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 62°, low 48°.
0Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
0.11
Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
0.44Ellerson Mill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
0.13
Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 41°, low 36°.
0Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 53°, low 36°.
0Ellerson Mill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 41°.
0Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 42°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 44°.
0.13Ellerson Mill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 48°.
0.02Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 50°.
0Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 60°, low 48°.
0.06Ellerson Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Ellerson Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Ellerson Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellerson Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellerson Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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