Weather in Ellerson Mill, VA
Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 24 October, 08:19
Clear. Feels like 40°. High 63°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Ellerson Mill, VA: average high 64.3°, average low 48.1°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (72.1°), the coolest 8 November (34°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 October – 2 November | 67.6° | 65.2° | +1.3° |
| 3 November – 12 November | 58.8° | 61.6° | -1.6° |
| 13 November – 22 November | at normal | 57.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richmond (8 mi).
0Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Ellerson Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 70°, low 48°.
0
Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 50°.
0Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 50°.
0Ellerson Mill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 72°, low 48°.
0Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 54°.
0Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
0.03
Ellerson Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 58°.
0.37Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 59°, low 58°.
0.94Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 72°, low 59°.
0.35Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 68°, low 52°.
0.03Ellerson Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 44°.
0Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 48°, low 37°.
0Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 51°, low 34°.
0.06
Ellerson Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.29Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Ellerson Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Ellerson Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Ellerson Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Ellerson Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Ellerson Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Ellerson Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellerson Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellerson Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellerson Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellerson Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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