Monthly outlook for South Riding, VA: average high 58.3°, average low 40.3°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (68.9°), the coolest 14 November (32.4°).
58.3°/40.3°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
57°
53.8°
+1.8°
22 November – 1 December
60.4°
51.4°
+5°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
47.2°
—
November records over 66 years
81.3°1 November 1974All-time high
11.3°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Stone Ridge (3 mi).
Fri, 1352° / 38°0
52 °
South Riding, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.6 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sat, 1449° / 32°0
49 °
South Riding, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1552° / 41°0
52 °
South Riding, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1653° / 36°0
53 °
South Riding, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.1 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Tue, 1755° / 33°0
55 °
South Riding, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 33°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1857° / 35°0
57 °
South Riding, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1959° / 38°0
59 °
South Riding, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2065° / 41°0
65 °
South Riding, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 2166° / 45°0
66 °
South Riding, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2262° / 45°0
62 °
South Riding, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 2366° / 46°0
66 °
South Riding, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 2469° / 49°0
69 °
South Riding, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 2562° / 46°0.16
62 °
South Riding, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.4 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2649° / 38°0
49 °
South Riding, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 2755° / 36°0
55 °
South Riding, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2853° / 38°0.17
53 °
South Riding, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low25° (2023)
Sun, 2950° / 35°0.13
50 °
South Riding, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low22° (2023)
Mon, 3049° / 36°0.11
49 °
South Riding, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0149° / 35°0.18
49 °
South Riding, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low15° (1967)
Wed, 0249° / 34°0.1
49 °
South Riding, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low9° (1967)
Thu, 0349° / 34°0.09
49 °
South Riding, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low18° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.09
49 °
South Riding, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low17° (1966)
Sat, 0547° / 34°0.14
47 °
South Riding, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low22° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 33°0.1
48 °
South Riding, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low13° (2002)
Mon, 0746° / 33°0.11
46 °
South Riding, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low4° (2002)
Tue, 0846° / 33°0.06
46 °
South Riding, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low17° (2002)
Wed, 0946° / 32°0.19
46 °
South Riding, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low15° (1989)
Thu, 1046° / 33°0.15
46 °
South Riding, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1966)
Record low10° (1989)
Fri, 1146° / 32°0.17
46 °
South Riding, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low16° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for South Riding, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in South Riding, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.