Monthly outlook for McConnell, VA: average high 63.5°, average low 44.8°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 5.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (81°), the coolest 19 October (27.1°).
63.5°/44.8°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
5.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
67.6°
65.3°
+1.3°
20 October – 29 October
56.8°
61.8°
-2.7°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
59°
—
October records over 66 years
91.2°3 October 2019All-time high
25°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Coeburn (15 mi).
Sun, 1166° / 57°1.43
66 °
McConnell, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility4.9 mi
Dew point61°
Mon, 1276° / 54°0.01
76 °
McConnell, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Tue, 1379° / 59°0
79 °
McConnell, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 79°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1481° / 59°0
81 °
McConnell, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 81°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Thu, 1578° / 65°0.11
78 °
McConnell, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 65°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 1680° / 61°0.04
80 °
McConnell, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind18.4 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 1757° / 32°0.17
57 °
McConnell, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 32°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.3 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1845° / 30°0
45 °
McConnell, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1950° / 27°0
50 °
McConnell, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 50°, low 27°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2057° / 30°0
57 °
McConnell, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 57°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 2162° / 33°0
62 °
McConnell, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 2263° / 36°0
63 °
McConnell, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.9 mph E
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2363° / 39°0
63 °
McConnell, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2448° / 40°2.07
48 °
McConnell, Saturday, 24 October
Heavy rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2549° / 40°0.11
49 °
McConnell, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2662° / 46°0.1
62 °
McConnell, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low27° (1962)
Tue, 2761° / 45°0.16
61 °
McConnell, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low26° (1962)
Wed, 2860° / 45°0.15
60 °
McConnell, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (1991)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2960° / 44°0.15
60 °
McConnell, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2016)
Record low30° (2017)
Fri, 3062° / 42°0.13
62 °
McConnell, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (1971)
Record low25° (2017)
Sat, 3162° / 45°0.07
62 °
McConnell, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1974)
Record low31° (1993)
Sun, 0162° / 45°0.09
62 °
McConnell, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low24° (2023)
Mon, 0261° / 44°0.15
61 °
McConnell, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Tue, 0359° / 42°0.09
59 °
McConnell, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low26° (1996)
Wed, 0458° / 41°0.09
58 °
McConnell, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0557° / 41°0.13
57 °
McConnell, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low22° (1991)
Fri, 0657° / 40°0.07
57 °
McConnell, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low25° (1967)
Sat, 0757° / 41°0.13
57 °
McConnell, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low26° (1967)
Sun, 0856° / 39°0.09
56 °
McConnell, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1986)
Record low24° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for McConnell, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in McConnell, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.