Monthly outlook for Sheps End, VA: average high 68.1°, average low 59.1°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (78.5°), the coolest 27 October (50.4°).
68.1°/59.1°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
69.3°
65.8°
+1.9°
23 October – 1 November
66.1°
63°
+1.8°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
60°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°2 October 2019All-time high
39.7°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Willis Wharf (7 mi).
Wed, 1477° / 70°0
77 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 77°, low 70°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Thu, 1574° / 65°0
74 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 65°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Fri, 1678° / 66°0.22
78 °
Sheps End, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 78°, low 66°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1763° / 57°0
63 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind29.6 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 1857° / 52°0
57 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 52°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind13 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1966° / 53°0
66 °
Sheps End, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 2068° / 63°0
68 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 63°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2166° / 60°0
66 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2266° / 60°0
66 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind12.9 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 2368° / 60°0
68 °
Sheps End, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 68°, low 60°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 2472° / 63°0
72 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 72°, low 63°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 2567° / 61°0
67 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 61°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 2666° / 54°0.14
66 °
Sheps End, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind21 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 2758° / 50°0.35
58 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.5 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2865° / 55°0
65 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind22.2 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2962° / 55°0.24
62 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low40° (1965)
Fri, 3061° / 54°0.08
61 °
Sheps End, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low41° (1965)
Sat, 3162° / 55°0.07
62 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Sun, 0163° / 56°0.13
63 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low44° (1975)
Mon, 0262° / 56°0.16
62 °
Sheps End, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1971)
Record low42° (2020)
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.11
62 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2017)
Record low42° (2006)
Wed, 0461° / 53°0.13
61 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low40° (1966)
Thu, 0561° / 53°0.13
61 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low40° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 52°0.11
60 °
Sheps End, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low37° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 52°0.1
60 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low42° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 51°0.07
59 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low39° (1976)
Mon, 0959° / 51°0.07
59 °
Sheps End, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low34° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 51°0.15
60 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low38° (1995)
Wed, 1158° / 51°0.13
58 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Sheps End, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Sheps End, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.