Monthly outlook for Sheps End, VA: average high 65.6°, average low 56.4°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (86.4°), the coolest 24 October (46.6°).
65.6°/56.4°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
69.4°
65.5°
+2.2°
24 October – 2 November
59.2°
62.8°
-2°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
59.6°
—
October records over 66 years
90.3°2 October 2019All-time high
39.7°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Willis Wharf (7 mi).
Thu, 1572° / 66°0
72 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 66°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 1678° / 67°0
78 °
Sheps End, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 78°, low 67°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.1 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1774° / 57°0.17
74 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind26.5 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility4.1 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 1857° / 50°0
57 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind22.5 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 1964° / 54°0
64 °
Sheps End, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 54°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 2069° / 64°0
69 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 64°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 2169° / 62°0
69 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 69°, low 62°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 2267° / 63°0.02
67 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 63°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind21.5 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2357° / 51°0
57 °
Sheps End, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind24.2 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2458° / 47°0
58 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind25.4 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 2562° / 52°0
62 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.6 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2662° / 53°0.02
62 °
Sheps End, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind20.4 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 2756° / 50°0
56 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.2 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2859° / 52°0
59 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.4 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2957° / 50°0
57 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3061° / 54°0.08
61 °
Sheps End, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low41° (1965)
Sat, 3162° / 55°0.07
62 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Sun, 0163° / 56°0.13
63 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low44° (1975)
Mon, 0262° / 56°0.16
62 °
Sheps End, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1971)
Record low42° (2020)
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.11
62 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2017)
Record low42° (2006)
Wed, 0461° / 53°0.13
61 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low40° (1966)
Thu, 0561° / 53°0.13
61 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low40° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 52°0.11
60 °
Sheps End, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low37° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 52°0.1
60 °
Sheps End, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low42° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 51°0.07
59 °
Sheps End, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low39° (1976)
Mon, 0959° / 51°0.07
59 °
Sheps End, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low34° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 51°0.15
60 °
Sheps End, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low38° (1995)
Wed, 1158° / 51°0.13
58 °
Sheps End, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1258° / 49°0.25
58 °
Sheps End, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low33° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Sheps End, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Sheps End, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.