Weather in Elly, VA
Elly, Thursday, 8 October, 09:42
Clear. Feels like 66°. High 78°, low 54°.
Monthly outlook for Elly, VA: average high 71°, average low 50.6°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (81.3°), the coolest 18 October (38°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | 73.8° | 68.5° | +2.9° |
| 18 October – 27 October | 66.3° | 64.6° | +0.9° |
| 28 October – 6 November | at normal | 62° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orange (8 mi).
0
Elly, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 47°.
0.04
Elly, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 52°.
1.09Elly, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 64°, low 56°.
0.3Elly, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 75°, low 59°.
0Elly, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 55°.
0Elly, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 72°, low 53°.
0Elly, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 72°, low 49°.
0Elly, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 54°.
0Elly, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
0Elly, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
0
Elly, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 40°.
0Elly, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 49°.
0.02Elly, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 54°.
0Elly, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 75°, low 53°.
0Elly, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 49°.
0.06Elly, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Elly, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elly, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elly, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elly, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21
Elly, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elly, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Elly, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elly, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elly, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Elly, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Elly, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elly, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elly, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elly, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elly, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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