Weather in Elly, VA
Elly, Friday, 9 October, 12:57
Overcast. Feels like 73°. High 74°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Elly, VA: average high 67.4°, average low 47.5°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (81.7°), the coolest 19 October (35.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 October – 18 October | 70.6° | 68.3° | +1.3° |
| 19 October – 28 October | 62° | 64.4° | -1.3° |
| 29 October – 7 November | at normal | 61.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orange (8 mi).
0.39
Elly, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 70°, low 52°.
1.32Elly, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 67°, low 52°.
0Elly, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 58°.
0
Elly, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 82°, low 57°.
0.11Elly, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 62°.
0Elly, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 66°, low 50°.
0.07Elly, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 58°.
0.01Elly, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 40°.
0Elly, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 37°.
0Elly, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
0Elly, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
0Elly, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
0
Elly, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0.68Elly, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 66°, low 46°.
1.14Elly, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 58°, low 40°.
0.19
Elly, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elly, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elly, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elly, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Elly, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elly, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Elly, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elly, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elly, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Elly, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Elly, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elly, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elly, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elly, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elly, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elly, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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