Weather in Lower Elk Creek, VA
Lower Elk Creek, Sunday, 9 August, 11:36
Overcast. Feels like 84°. High 80°, low 64°.
Monthly outlook for Lower Elk Creek, VA: average high 81.5°, average low 62.5°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 August (86.5°), the coolest 21 August (57.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 August – 18 August | 81.7° | 78.5° | +1.8° |
| 19 August – 28 August | 81° | 78.3° | +1.5° |
| 29 August – 7 September | at normal | 76.7° | — |
August records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (14 mi).
0.04
Lower Elk Creek, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 83°, low 66°.
0.13Lower Elk Creek, Tuesday, 11 August
Rain. High 83°, low 65°.
0.77Lower Elk Creek, Wednesday, 12 August
Heavy rain. High 87°, low 61°.
0.08Lower Elk Creek, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 84°, low 60°.
0.31Lower Elk Creek, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 73°, low 66°.
0.06Lower Elk Creek, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 75°, low 66°.
0.19Lower Elk Creek, Sunday, 16 August
Light rain. High 86°, low 63°.
0.02Lower Elk Creek, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 80°, low 64°.
0
Lower Elk Creek, Tuesday, 18 August
Mostly clear. High 86°, low 61°.
0.06Lower Elk Creek, Wednesday, 19 August
Light rain. High 84°, low 65°.
0.02Lower Elk Creek, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 80°, low 61°.
0
Lower Elk Creek, Friday, 21 August
Clear. High 78°, low 58°.
0Lower Elk Creek, Saturday, 22 August
Overcast. High 85°, low 59°.
0.02Lower Elk Creek, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 81°, low 62°.
0Lower Elk Creek, Monday, 24 August
Overcast. High 78°, low 61°.
0.08
Lower Elk Creek, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lower Elk Creek, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lower Elk Creek, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Lower Elk Creek, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lower Elk Creek, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lower Elk Creek, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lower Elk Creek, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lower Elk Creek, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lower Elk Creek, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lower Elk Creek, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lower Elk Creek, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Lower Elk Creek, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lower Elk Creek, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lower Elk Creek, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lower Elk Creek, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lower Elk Creek, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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