Monthly outlook for Burnt Tree, VA: average high 69.4°, average low 50.3°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (86.5°), the coolest 18 October (39.4°).
69.4°/50.3°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
71.6°
66.8°
+2.7°
23 October – 1 November
65.6°
63.4°
+1.2°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
60°
—
October records over 66 years
95.2°2 October 2019All-time high
28.9°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orange (5 mi).
Wed, 1486° / 66°0
86 °
Burnt Tree, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 86°, low 66°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Thu, 1571° / 62°0
71 °
Burnt Tree, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 62°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 1683° / 58°0
83 °
Burnt Tree, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 58°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1757° / 44°0
57 °
Burnt Tree, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1859° / 39°0
59 °
Burnt Tree, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1964° / 41°0
64 °
Burnt Tree, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2070° / 47°0
70 °
Burnt Tree, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.4 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2171° / 51°0
71 °
Burnt Tree, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2273° / 52°0
73 °
Burnt Tree, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 73°, low 52°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2372° / 51°0
72 °
Burnt Tree, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2473° / 56°0
73 °
Burnt Tree, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 2567° / 59°0
67 °
Burnt Tree, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 2657° / 45°0.31
57 °
Burnt Tree, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 2759° / 41°0
59 °
Burnt Tree, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.2 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2866° / 40°0
66 °
Burnt Tree, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.7 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2962° / 45°0.21
62 °
Burnt Tree, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Fri, 3062° / 44°0.09
62 °
Burnt Tree, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low30° (2011)
Sat, 3163° / 46°0.05
63 °
Burnt Tree, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low33° (1968)
Sun, 0164° / 47°0.11
64 °
Burnt Tree, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low34° (2002)
Mon, 0263° / 46°0.12
63 °
Burnt Tree, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1971)
Record low28° (2023)
Tue, 0363° / 45°0.06
63 °
Burnt Tree, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low32° (1996)
Wed, 0460° / 44°0.14
60 °
Burnt Tree, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low28° (2006)
Thu, 0560° / 44°0.09
60 °
Burnt Tree, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2022)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 43°0.07
60 °
Burnt Tree, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0759° / 42°0.1
59 °
Burnt Tree, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0859° / 42°0.09
59 °
Burnt Tree, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low27° (1967)
Mon, 0959° / 42°0.05
59 °
Burnt Tree, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1059° / 42°0.14
59 °
Burnt Tree, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1975)
Record low29° (2003)
Wed, 1158° / 41°0.19
58 °
Burnt Tree, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low22° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Burnt Tree, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Burnt Tree, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.