Weather in Lake Frederick, VA
Lake Frederick, Sunday, 15 November, 13:58
Overcast. Feels like 48°. High 50°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Frederick, VA: average high 56.4°, average low 37.4°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (68.1°), the coolest 17 November (30.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 57.7° | 51.4° | +3.5° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 54.1° | 48.8° | +3° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 44.3° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (9 mi).
0
Lake Frederick, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 41°.
0
Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 60°, low 31°.
0Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 34°.
0
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 38°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 68°, low 36°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 41°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 43°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 24 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 34°.
0Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 25 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 33°.
0Lake Frederick, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 33°.
0.04
Lake Frederick, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
0.07Lake Frederick, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 32°.
0.19
Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Frederick, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Frederick, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Frederick, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Frederick, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Frederick, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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