Weather in Lake Frederick, VA
Lake Frederick, Sunday, 8 November, 05:10
Overcast. Feels like 39°. High 62°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Frederick, VA: average high 57.5°, average low 39.9°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (67.8°), the coolest 18 November (31.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 November – 17 November | 56° | 54° | +1.1° |
| 18 November – 27 November | 60° | 50.8° | +5.1° |
| 28 November – 7 December | at normal | 47° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (9 mi).
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 43°.
0
Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 68°, low 40°.
0Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
0.17
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 65°, low 46°.
0
Lake Frederick, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 40°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 39°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 37°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 33°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 31°.
0Lake Frederick, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 37°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 50°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 48°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 33°.
0.12Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Frederick, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Lake Frederick, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Frederick, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Frederick, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Frederick, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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