Weather in Lake Frederick, VA
Lake Frederick, Monday, 26 October, 00:07
Clear. Feels like 43°. High 70°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Frederick, VA: average high 59.3°, average low 40.2°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (75.3°), the coolest 6 November (26.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 October – 4 November | 64.2° | 60.2° | +2.2° |
| 5 November – 14 November | 51.3° | 55.4° | -2.3° |
| 15 November – 24 November | at normal | 51.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (9 mi).
0
Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 68°, low 42°.
0
Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 47°.
0
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 47°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 75°, low 47°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 50°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
0.72
Lake Frederick, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 57°, low 50°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
0Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
0.14
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 5 November
Snow. High 45°, low 32°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 47°, low 26°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 55°, low 28°.
0.04Lake Frederick, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 36°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 31°.
0.14
Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Frederick, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Frederick, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Frederick, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Frederick, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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