Weather in Lake Frederick, VA
Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 10 November, 19:25
Clear. Feels like 55°. High 68°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Frederick, VA: average high 54°, average low 34.6°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (67.9°), the coolest 25 November (23.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 November – 19 November | 54.7° | 53.1° | +0.9° |
| 20 November – 29 November | 52.7° | 50.3° | +1.3° |
| 30 November – 9 December | at normal | 46° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (9 mi).
0
Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 42°.
0.05
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 44°.
0
Lake Frederick, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 35°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
0
Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
0Lake Frederick, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 31°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 34°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 60°, low 36°.
0.03Lake Frederick, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 41°.
2.07Lake Frederick, Monday, 23 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 32°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 37°, low 26°.
0Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 41°, low 23°.
0.15
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Frederick, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Lake Frederick, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Lake Frederick, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Frederick, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Frederick, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Frederick, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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