Weather in Lake Frederick, VA
Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 28 October, 21:01
Clear. Feels like 53°. High 66°, low 46°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Frederick, VA: average high 62.4°, average low 46.1°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (74.9°), the coolest 12 November (35.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 October – 6 November | 66.2° | 59.6° | +3.7° |
| 7 November – 16 November | 56.1° | 54.5° | +0.9° |
| 17 November – 26 November | at normal | 50.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (9 mi).
0
Lake Frederick, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 75°, low 44°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 48°.
0
Lake Frederick, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 45°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 50°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 49°.
0Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 50°.
0.11
Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
1.66Lake Frederick, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 57°.
0Lake Frederick, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 47°.
0Lake Frederick, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 58°, low 41°.
0Lake Frederick, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 39°.
0Lake Frederick, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 42°.
0.02Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 54°.
0.07Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
0Lake Frederick, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 46°, low 36°.
0.07
Lake Frederick, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Lake Frederick, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Lake Frederick, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Frederick, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Frederick, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Frederick, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Lake Frederick, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Frederick, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Frederick, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Frederick, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Frederick, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Frederick, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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