Monthly outlook for Vails Mill, VA: average high 64.3°, average low 44.7°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (77°), the coolest 19 October (24.7°).
64.3°/44.7°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
64.9°
65.9°
-0.6°
21 October – 30 October
63.4°
62.8°
+0.3°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
59.6°
—
October records over 66 years
90.7°3 October 2019All-time high
21.6°27 October 1982All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Damascus (1 mi).
Mon, 1273° / 59°0.14
73 °
Vails Mill, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1376° / 55°0
76 °
Vails Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Wed, 1477° / 59°0
77 °
Vails Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 77°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.2 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Thu, 1577° / 61°0
77 °
Vails Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Fri, 1675° / 52°0.2
75 °
Vails Mill, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.4 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 1748° / 33°0.18
48 °
Vails Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1841° / 27°0.08
41 °
Vails Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 41°, low 27°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind11.6 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1953° / 25°0
53 °
Vails Mill, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 25°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.6 mph E
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Tue, 2061° / 35°0
61 °
Vails Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 61°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.2 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2168° / 39°0
68 °
Vails Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 39°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 2265° / 42°0
65 °
Vails Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 2367° / 44°0
67 °
Vails Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2467° / 46°0
67 °
Vails Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2558° / 44°0
58 °
Vails Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2655° / 36°0
55 °
Vails Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2762° / 45°0.14
62 °
Vails Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high77° (1984)
Record low22° (1982)
Wed, 2862° / 46°0.12
62 °
Vails Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high77° (1991)
Record low28° (1976)
Thu, 2961° / 44°0.12
61 °
Vails Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low30° (1965)
Fri, 3063° / 44°0.12
63 °
Vails Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low29° (2017)
Sat, 3162° / 45°0.08
62 °
Vails Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low32° (1993)
Sun, 0162° / 46°0.07
62 °
Vails Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high77° (2004)
Record low27° (2023)
Mon, 0262° / 44°0.13
62 °
Vails Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (2004)
Record low24° (2023)
Tue, 0360° / 43°0.06
60 °
Vails Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low26° (2023)
Wed, 0459° / 42°0.11
59 °
Vails Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (2003)
Record low27° (1966)
Thu, 0558° / 42°0.11
58 °
Vails Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1961)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0658° / 41°0.06
58 °
Vails Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0758° / 42°0.11
58 °
Vails Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low26° (1967)
Sun, 0858° / 40°0.08
58 °
Vails Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low26° (1976)
Mon, 0959° / 41°0.08
59 °
Vails Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low26° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vails Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vails Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.