Weather in Vails Mill, VA
Vails Mill, Friday, 9 October, 02:50
Overcast. Feels like 51°. High 74°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Vails Mill, VA: average high 71.2°, average low 54.1°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (83.4°), the coolest 18 October (43.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 October – 18 October | 74.5° | 66.8° | +4.2° |
| 19 October – 28 October | 65.6° | 63.1° | +1.4° |
| 29 October – 7 November | at normal | 60.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Damascus (1 mi).
0.48
Vails Mill, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 62°, low 55°.
0.34Vails Mill, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 73°, low 58°.
0.06Vails Mill, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 58°.
0
Vails Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 75°, low 57°.
0Vails Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 62°.
0Vails Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 83°, low 63°.
0.01Vails Mill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 63°.
0.06Vails Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 55°.
0
Vails Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 44°.
0Vails Mill, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
0Vails Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 48°.
0Vails Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 48°.
0.02Vails Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
0.37Vails Mill, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 60°, low 52°.
0.17Vails Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 49°.
0.18
Vails Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vails Mill, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Vails Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vails Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Vails Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vails Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Vails Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Vails Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vails Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Vails Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vails Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vails Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Vails Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vails Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vails Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vails Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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