Weather in Bavon, VA
Bavon, Friday, 16 October, 08:06
Mostly clear. Feels like 68°. High 82°, low 67°.
Monthly outlook for Bavon, VA: average high 65.8°, average low 59.6°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 4.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (81.6°), the coolest 18 October (51.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 64.6° | 66.1° | -0.9° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 67.8° | 63.5° | +2.4° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 59.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (14 mi).
0.56
Bavon, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 68°, low 55°.
0
Bavon, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 52°.
0.02Bavon, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 55°.
0.46Bavon, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 61°, low 58°.
0.14Bavon, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 59°.
0.16Bavon, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 60°.
0.41Bavon, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 63°, low 59°.
0
Bavon, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 59°.
1.61Bavon, Sunday, 25 October
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 60°.
0.27Bavon, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 60°.
0.01Bavon, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 57°.
0Bavon, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 62°.
0.05Bavon, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 63°.
0.44Bavon, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 64°.
0.18Bavon, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 72°, low 63°.
0.15Bavon, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bavon, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bavon, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Bavon, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bavon, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bavon, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bavon, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bavon, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bavon, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bavon, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Bavon, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.3Bavon, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bavon, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bavon, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bavon, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bavon, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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