Monthly outlook for Bavon, VA: average high 60.2°, average low 51.5°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (70.6°), the coolest 17 November (36.9°).
60.2°/51.5°
Average high / low
+0.2°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
63.6°
61.3°
+1.3°
12 November – 21 November
54.5°
57.1°
-1.4°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
55.2°
—
November records over 66 years
80.2°11 November 2020All-time high
25.3°29 November 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (14 mi).
Tue, 0365° / 58°0
65 °
Bavon, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 0467° / 62°0
67 °
Bavon, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 62°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Thu, 0571° / 64°0.13
71 °
Bavon, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 64°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Fri, 0668° / 62°1.45
68 °
Bavon, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 62°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Sat, 0766° / 56°0
66 °
Bavon, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 66°, low 56°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0863° / 53°0.02
63 °
Bavon, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind22.1 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0961° / 51°0.01
61 °
Bavon, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind21.8 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1056° / 45°0
56 °
Bavon, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.8 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1156° / 47°0
56 °
Bavon, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.5 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1256° / 47°0
56 °
Bavon, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1357° / 51°0
57 °
Bavon, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 1452° / 48°0.01
52 °
Bavon, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind20.4 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 1556° / 42°0
56 °
Bavon, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind20.7 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1659° / 46°0
59 °
Bavon, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind21.9 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1747° / 37°0
47 °
Bavon, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17.6 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1857° / 45°0.04
57 °
Bavon, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2021)
Record low33° (2014)
Thu, 1957° / 45°0.1
57 °
Bavon, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1964)
Record low28° (2014)
Fri, 2057° / 46°0.05
57 °
Bavon, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low35° (1984)
Sat, 2156° / 45°0.12
56 °
Bavon, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1991)
Record low32° (1987)
Sun, 2255° / 44°0.16
55 °
Bavon, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2007)
Record low29° (2000)
Mon, 2354° / 43°0.08
54 °
Bavon, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1992)
Record low31° (2018)
Tue, 2456° / 44°0.09
56 °
Bavon, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low27° (1970)
Wed, 2556° / 43°0.11
56 °
Bavon, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low28° (2013)
Thu, 2657° / 45°0.13
57 °
Bavon, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low33° (1970)
Fri, 2757° / 45°0.12
57 °
Bavon, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low30° (1977)
Sat, 2857° / 45°0.11
57 °
Bavon, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low31° (2013)
Sun, 2954° / 43°0.11
54 °
Bavon, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low25° (2023)
Mon, 3054° / 43°0.16
54 °
Bavon, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low30° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 43°0.09
54 °
Bavon, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low28° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bavon, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bavon, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.