Monthly outlook for Shupe, VA: average high 65.5°, average low 44.5°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (78°), the coolest 19 October (28.7°).
65.5°/44.5°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
67.3°
63.9°
+1.9°
19 October – 28 October
62.4°
60.1°
+1.3°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
57.2°
—
October records over 66 years
87.4°3 October 2019All-time high
23.4°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rural Retreat (9 mi).
Sat, 1058° / 51°0.67
58 °
Shupe, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 1169° / 52°0.39
69 °
Shupe, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 69°, low 52°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 1269° / 57°0.15
69 °
Shupe, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.7 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1374° / 57°0
74 °
Shupe, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 74°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.8 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Wed, 1476° / 62°0
76 °
Shupe, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 62°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.7 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 1576° / 53°0
76 °
Shupe, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 1678° / 51°0.05
78 °
Shupe, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.9 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1756° / 35°0.06
56 °
Shupe, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.4 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1848° / 30°0
48 °
Shupe, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1954° / 29°0
54 °
Shupe, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 29°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 2058° / 32°0
58 °
Shupe, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 32°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2159° / 33°0
59 °
Shupe, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2265° / 37°0
65 °
Shupe, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 2367° / 41°0
67 °
Shupe, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 67°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2471° / 44°0
71 °
Shupe, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 71°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2559° / 43°0.19
59 °
Shupe, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low28° (1962)
Mon, 2659° / 43°0.13
59 °
Shupe, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low25° (1962)
Tue, 2759° / 42°0.13
59 °
Shupe, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low23° (1962)
Wed, 2858° / 43°0.09
58 °
Shupe, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2958° / 41°0.11
58 °
Shupe, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low27° (1965)
Fri, 3059° / 40°0.1
59 °
Shupe, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low26° (2017)
Sat, 3159° / 42°0.07
59 °
Shupe, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0159° / 43°0.06
59 °
Shupe, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2004)
Record low24° (2023)
Mon, 0259° / 42°0.12
59 °
Shupe, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (2023)
Tue, 0357° / 40°0.05
57 °
Shupe, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (2012)
Wed, 0456° / 39°0.11
56 °
Shupe, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (2003)
Record low24° (1966)
Thu, 0555° / 39°0.1
55 °
Shupe, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1961)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 38°0.04
56 °
Shupe, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low24° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 38°0.09
55 °
Shupe, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low23° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shupe, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shupe, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.