As of 16:03 EDT

Weather in Carmel, VA

75°

Carmel, Monday, 12 October, 16:03

Mostly clear. Feels like 75°. High 75°, low 55°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind5.7 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point62°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, VA: average high 69.4°, average low 49°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (83.9°), the coolest 18 October (35.1°).

69.4°/49°

Average high / low

+3°

Above normal

2 / 4

Wet days / normal

0.4 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
12 October – 21 October	69.8°	65.2°	+2.6°
22 October – 31 October	68.8°	61.6°	+4°
1 November – 10 November	at normal	58.6°	—

October records over 66 years

93.2°3 October 2019All-time high

18°30 October 2011All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Edinburg (7 mi).

Tue, 1376° / 52°

76 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October

Clear. High 76°, low 52°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind6.4 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point61°

Wed, 1484° / 64°

84 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Mostly clear. High 84°, low 64°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind7.1 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point66°

Thu, 1568° / 59°

0.26

68 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 68°, low 59°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind3.9 mph E

Humidity77%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point54°

Fri, 1678° / 53°

0.05

78 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 78°, low 53°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind11 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point67°

Sat, 1755° / 42°

55 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 55°, low 42°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind13.8 mph NW

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Sun, 1859° / 35°

59 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 59°, low 35°.

Pressure30.59 inHg

Wind5.4 mph S

Humidity37%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Mon, 1966° / 37°

66 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 66°, low 37°.

Pressure30.50 inHg

Wind7.5 mph SW

Humidity34%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Tue, 2072° / 47°

72 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 72°, low 47°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind5.3 mph SW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Wed, 2165° / 52°

0.04

65 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 65°, low 52°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind4.5 mph NE

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

Thu, 2265° / 46°

65 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 65°, low 46°.

Pressure30.53 inHg

Wind4.7 mph NE

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point43°

Fri, 2369° / 45°

69 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 69°, low 45°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind7.9 mph SW

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point45°

Sat, 2475° / 56°

0.02

75 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Light rain. High 75°, low 56°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind4.9 mph SW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

Sun, 2578° / 57°

78 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Overcast. High 78°, low 57°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind9.9 mph SW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

Mon, 2660° / 44°

60 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Overcast. High 60°, low 44°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind16.6 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Tue, 2766° / 38°

66 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Overcast. High 66°, low 38°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind13.6 mph NW

Humidity39%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Wed, 2862° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high82° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Thu, 2960° / 42°

0.2

60 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high78° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Fri, 3060° / 41°

0.07

60 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high79° (2004)

Record low18° (2011)

Sat, 3162° / 43°

0.04

62 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high76° (1982)

Record low26° (2011)

Sun, 0162° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (1974)

Record low30° (2023)

Mon, 0261° / 44°

0.13

61 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (1971)

Record low23° (2023)

Tue, 0361° / 42°

0.07

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (2003)

Record low29° (2021)

Wed, 0458° / 41°

0.14

58 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high80° (2003)

Record low27° (1962)

Thu, 0558° / 41°

0.09

58 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high78° (1961)

Record low24° (2021)

Fri, 0658° / 41°

0.06

58 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high77° (2015)

Record low27° (2021)

Sat, 0757° / 40°

0.09

57 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low28° (1962)

Sun, 0857° / 39°

0.11

57 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1975)

Record low27° (1967)

Mon, 0957° / 40°

0.05

57 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1994)

Record low22° (2019)

Tue, 1057° / 39°

0.13

57 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high73° (1975)

Record low27° (2017)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.