As of 06:40 EDT

Weather in Carmel, VA

49°

Carmel, Saturday, 10 October, 06:40

Overcast. Feels like 49°. High 67°, low 49°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind0 mph N

Humidity90%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point47°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, VA: average high 65.2°, average low 45.8°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (82.6°), the coolest 20 October (31.4°).

65.2°/45.8°

Average high / low

+0.2°

Above normal

5 / 4

Wet days / normal

2.6 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
10 October – 19 October	68°	65.9°	+1.2°
20 October – 29 October	60.4°	62°	-0.9°
30 October – 8 November	at normal	59.4°	—

October records over 66 years

93.2°3 October 2019All-time high

18°30 October 2011All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Edinburg (7 mi).

Sun, 1166° / 50°

1.19

66 °

Carmel, Sunday, 11 October

Rain. High 66°, low 50°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind7.2 mph NE

Humidity96%

Visibility3.2 mi

Dew point62°

Mon, 1273° / 57°

73 °

Carmel, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 73°, low 57°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point59°

Tue, 1378° / 54°

78 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October

Mostly clear. High 78°, low 54°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind6.2 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point59°

Wed, 1483° / 63°

0.03

83 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 83°, low 63°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind9.2 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point63°

Thu, 1565° / 55°

65 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 65°, low 55°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind8.5 mph N

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Fri, 1679° / 52°

0.13

79 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 79°, low 52°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind10.2 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point58°

Sat, 1766° / 52°

0.76

66 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 66°, low 52°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind7.9 mph NE

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point62°

Sun, 1854° / 40°

0.4

54 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind12.4 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Mon, 1950° / 35°

50 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind11.5 mph NW

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Tue, 2056° / 31°

56 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 56°, low 31°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind3.9 mph NE

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Wed, 2160° / 34°

60 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 60°, low 34°.

Pressure30.47 inHg

Wind4.6 mph NE

Humidity41%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Thu, 2263° / 36°

63 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 63°, low 36°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind5.3 mph E

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Fri, 2362° / 39°

62 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 62°, low 39°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind5.3 mph SE

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point42°

Sat, 2463° / 43°

63 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind3.3 mph SE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Sun, 2559° / 44°

0.07

59 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Light rain. High 59°, low 44°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind10.8 mph W

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point47°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Mon, 2661° / 44°

0.12

61 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high78° (1963)

Record low29° (1962)

Tue, 2761° / 44°

0.13

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high80° (1963)

Record low28° (1979)

Wed, 2862° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high82° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Thu, 2960° / 42°

0.2

60 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high78° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Fri, 3060° / 41°

0.07

60 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high79° (2004)

Record low18° (2011)

Sat, 3162° / 43°

0.04

62 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high76° (1982)

Record low26° (2011)

Sun, 0162° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (1974)

Record low30° (2023)

Mon, 0261° / 44°

0.13

61 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (1971)

Record low23° (2023)

Tue, 0361° / 42°

0.07

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (2003)

Record low29° (2021)

Wed, 0458° / 41°

0.14

58 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high80° (2003)

Record low27° (1962)

Thu, 0558° / 41°

0.09

58 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high78° (1961)

Record low24° (2021)

Fri, 0658° / 41°

0.06

58 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high77° (2015)

Record low27° (2021)

Sat, 0757° / 40°

0.09

57 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low28° (1962)

Sun, 0857° / 39°

0.11

57 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1975)

Record low27° (1967)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.