As of 14:26 EDT

Weather in Carmel, VA

83°

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October, 14:26

Clear. Feels like 85°. High 83°, low 53°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind10.4 mph SW

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point65°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, VA: average high 68.5°, average low 47.2°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (83.2°), the coolest 18 October (35.9°).

68.5°/47.2°

Average high / low

+2.6°

Above normal

2 / 4

Wet days / normal

0.2 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
13 October – 22 October	70.4°	64.9°	+3.1°
23 October – 1 November	65.2°	61.4°	+2.1°
2 November – 11 November	at normal	58°	—

October records over 66 years

93.2°3 October 2019All-time high

18°30 October 2011All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Edinburg (7 mi).

Wed, 1483° / 62°

83 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Mostly clear. High 83°, low 62°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind5.1 mph SW

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point65°

Thu, 1570° / 59°

0.17

70 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind4.8 mph E

Humidity91%

Visibility3.3 mi

Dew point56°

Fri, 1683° / 55°

0.07

83 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 83°, low 55°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind11.1 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point66°

Sat, 1753° / 42°

53 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Mostly clear. High 53°, low 42°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind14.5 mph NW

Humidity50%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point32°

Sun, 1858° / 36°

58 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 58°, low 36°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind8 mph S

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Mon, 1967° / 41°

67 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 67°, low 41°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind7 mph SW

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Tue, 2071° / 48°

71 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 71°, low 48°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind4.9 mph SW

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point42°

Wed, 2169° / 49°

69 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 69°, low 49°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind5.6 mph NE

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Thu, 2268° / 50°

68 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 68°, low 50°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind5.3 mph SE

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Fri, 2371° / 47°

71 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Mostly clear. High 71°, low 47°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind8.7 mph SW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Sat, 2478° / 52°

78 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 78°, low 52°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind5.7 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point51°

Sun, 2565° / 46°

65 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind3.9 mph N

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Mon, 2663° / 41°

63 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Mostly clear. High 63°, low 41°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind12.6 mph W

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

Tue, 2756° / 38°

56 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Overcast. High 56°, low 38°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind6.8 mph N

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Wed, 2859° / 36°

59 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Overcast. High 59°, low 36°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind7 mph S

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Thu, 2960° / 42°

0.2

60 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high78° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Fri, 3060° / 41°

0.07

60 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high79° (2004)

Record low18° (2011)

Sat, 3162° / 43°

0.04

62 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high76° (1982)

Record low26° (2011)

Sun, 0162° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (1974)

Record low30° (2023)

Mon, 0261° / 44°

0.13

61 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (1971)

Record low23° (2023)

Tue, 0361° / 42°

0.07

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (2003)

Record low29° (2021)

Wed, 0458° / 41°

0.14

58 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high80° (2003)

Record low27° (1962)

Thu, 0558° / 41°

0.09

58 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high78° (1961)

Record low24° (2021)

Fri, 0658° / 41°

0.06

58 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high77° (2015)

Record low27° (2021)

Sat, 0757° / 40°

0.09

57 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low28° (1962)

Sun, 0857° / 39°

0.11

57 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1975)

Record low27° (1967)

Mon, 0957° / 40°

0.05

57 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1994)

Record low22° (2019)

Tue, 1057° / 39°

0.13

57 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high73° (1975)

Record low27° (2017)

Wed, 1155° / 39°

0.15

55 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high55°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high74° (2006)

Record low19° (2017)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.