As of 04:54 EDT

Weather in Carmel, VA

57°

Carmel, Sunday, 11 October, 04:54

Light rain. Feels like 57°. High 65°, low 55°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind11.5 mph N

Humidity98%

Visibility1.6 mi

Dew point56°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, VA: average high 64°, average low 43.8°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (81.6°), the coolest 19 October (27.4°).

64°/43.8°

Average high / low

−0.2°

Below normal

4 / 4

Wet days / normal

2.5 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
11 October – 20 October	64.8°	65.5°	-0.4°
21 October – 30 October	62.6°	61.8°	+0.5°
31 October – 9 November	at normal	59.1°	—

October records over 66 years

93.2°3 October 2019All-time high

18°30 October 2011All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Edinburg (7 mi).

Mon, 1271° / 51°

0.4

71 °

Carmel, Monday, 12 October

Heavy rain. High 71°, low 51°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind10.6 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point60°

Tue, 1379° / 53°

79 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October

Clear. High 79°, low 53°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind6.1 mph S

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point62°

Wed, 1482° / 61°

82 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 61°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind8.4 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point66°

Thu, 1566° / 56°

0.01

66 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 66°, low 56°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind8.4 mph N

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point51°

Fri, 1672° / 58°

0.33

72 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Rain. High 72°, low 58°.

Pressure29.77 inHg

Wind18.4 mph NW

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point66°

Sat, 1755° / 38°

0.04

55 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 55°, low 38°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind12.2 mph NW

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Sun, 1844° / 31°

44 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 44°, low 31°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind16.3 mph NW

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point17°

Mon, 1952° / 27°

52 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 52°, low 27°.

Pressure30.53 inHg

Wind4.1 mph W

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

Tue, 2062° / 32°

62 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 62°, low 32°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind4.4 mph SW

Humidity41%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Wed, 2166° / 38°

66 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 66°, low 38°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind4 mph SW

Humidity42%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Thu, 2266° / 40°

66 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 66°, low 40°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind3.6 mph SW

Humidity46%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Fri, 2366° / 44°

66 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 66°, low 44°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind7.3 mph N

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Sat, 2465° / 40°

65 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 65°, low 40°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind7.7 mph SW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Sun, 2559° / 39°

59 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Overcast. High 59°, low 39°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind10.4 mph W

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Mon, 2653° / 35°

53 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Overcast. High 53°, low 35°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind9.9 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Tue, 2761° / 44°

0.13

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high80° (1963)

Record low28° (1979)

Wed, 2862° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high82° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Thu, 2960° / 42°

0.2

60 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high78° (2023)

Record low28° (1976)

Fri, 3060° / 41°

0.07

60 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high79° (2004)

Record low18° (2011)

Sat, 3162° / 43°

0.04

62 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high76° (1982)

Record low26° (2011)

Sun, 0162° / 44°

0.07

62 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (1974)

Record low30° (2023)

Mon, 0261° / 44°

0.13

61 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (1971)

Record low23° (2023)

Tue, 0361° / 42°

0.07

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high79° (2003)

Record low29° (2021)

Wed, 0458° / 41°

0.14

58 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high80° (2003)

Record low27° (1962)

Thu, 0558° / 41°

0.09

58 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high78° (1961)

Record low24° (2021)

Fri, 0658° / 41°

0.06

58 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high58°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high77° (2015)

Record low27° (2021)

Sat, 0757° / 40°

0.09

57 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low28° (1962)

Sun, 0857° / 39°

0.11

57 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1975)

Record low27° (1967)

Mon, 0957° / 40°

0.05

57 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high57°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high76° (1994)

Record low22° (2019)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.