Weather in Carrsbrook, VA
Carrsbrook, Saturday, 10 October, 15:58
Overcast. Feels like 65°. High 66°, low 52°.
Monthly outlook for Carrsbrook, VA: average high 68.1°, average low 46.6°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84.3°), the coolest 19 October (31.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 October – 19 October | 69.6° | 68.1° | +0.8° |
| 20 October – 29 October | 65.6° | 64.4° | +0.7° |
| 30 October – 8 November | at normal | 61.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Charlottesville (4 mi).
1.76
Carrsbrook, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 53°.
0
Carrsbrook, Monday, 12 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 56°.
0
Carrsbrook, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 53°.
0Carrsbrook, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 84°, low 61°.
0Carrsbrook, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 55°.
0.06Carrsbrook, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 55°.
0
Carrsbrook, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 40°.
0Carrsbrook, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
0Carrsbrook, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 31°.
0Carrsbrook, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 59°, low 35°.
0Carrsbrook, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 38°.
0Carrsbrook, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
0Carrsbrook, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 72°, low 46°.
0Carrsbrook, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
0Carrsbrook, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 43°.
0.14Carrsbrook, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Carrsbrook, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Carrsbrook, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Carrsbrook, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Carrsbrook, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Carrsbrook, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Carrsbrook, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Carrsbrook, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Carrsbrook, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Carrsbrook, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Carrsbrook, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Carrsbrook, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Carrsbrook, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Carrsbrook, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carrsbrook, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carrsbrook, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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