Monthly outlook for Swinks Mill, VA: average high 67.4°, average low 50.7°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (84.5°), the coolest 18 October (38°).
67.4°/50.7°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
69.8°
65.4°
+2.5°
22 October – 31 October
63.4°
61.7°
+1°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
58.9°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°2 October 2019All-time high
29.1°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tysons (3 mi).
Tue, 1380° / 55°0
80 °
Swinks Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 80°, low 55°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 1485° / 66°0
85 °
Swinks Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 85°, low 66°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Thu, 1570° / 59°0
70 °
Swinks Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 1676° / 57°0.02
76 °
Swinks Mill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 1759° / 45°0
59 °
Swinks Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 1856° / 38°0
56 °
Swinks Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 1964° / 42°0
64 °
Swinks Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2066° / 49°0
66 °
Swinks Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.2 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2168° / 52°0
68 °
Swinks Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.1 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2265° / 51°0
65 °
Swinks Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2370° / 50°0
70 °
Swinks Mill, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 50°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.6 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 2461° / 47°0
61 °
Swinks Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2558° / 40°0
58 °
Swinks Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 2666° / 53°0.01
66 °
Swinks Mill, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 2760° / 48°0
60 °
Swinks Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2862° / 47°0.09
62 °
Swinks Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2960° / 45°0.22
60 °
Swinks Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low30° (1965)
Fri, 3060° / 44°0.11
60 °
Swinks Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low31° (2011)
Sat, 3161° / 46°0.06
61 °
Swinks Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low32° (2011)
Sun, 0162° / 47°0.09
62 °
Swinks Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (1974)
Record low36° (2002)
Mon, 0262° / 47°0.12
62 °
Swinks Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (1971)
Record low33° (1976)
Tue, 0361° / 45°0.06
61 °
Swinks Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low33° (1996)
Wed, 0459° / 44°0.11
59 °
Swinks Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low30° (2006)
Thu, 0558° / 44°0.09
58 °
Swinks Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (1961)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0658° / 44°0.07
58 °
Swinks Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0757° / 43°0.09
57 °
Swinks Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low28° (1962)
Sun, 0857° / 42°0.16
57 °
Swinks Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low28° (1960)
Mon, 0958° / 42°0.06
58 °
Swinks Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low26° (1976)
Tue, 1058° / 42°0.13
58 °
Swinks Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low30° (1973)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swinks Mill, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swinks Mill, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.