Monthly outlook for Lawson Mill, TN: average high 65.5°, average low 51.1°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (76.6°), the coolest 11 November (34.7°).
65.5°/51.1°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
70.5°
64°
+3.6°
6 November – 15 November
57.1°
59.3°
-1.2°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
56.7°
—
October records over 66 years
95.2°3 October 2019All-time high
28.9°29 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — McMinnville (5 mi).
Wed, 2871° / 46°0
71 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 2974° / 44°0
74 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 3077° / 52°0
77 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 3172° / 58°0
72 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 58°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0162° / 59°0.73
62 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Mon, 0271° / 58°0.01
71 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 58°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 0375° / 56°0
75 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 75°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 0468° / 61°0.02
68 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 61°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind20.5 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 0564° / 57°0.45
64 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 64°, low 57°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 0657° / 54°0.05
57 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 54°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind9.5 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0753° / 51°0.22
53 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 51°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0856° / 50°0.01
56 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0965° / 46°0
65 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1060° / 47°0
60 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1151° / 35°0
51 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1258° / 42°0.09
58 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low22° (2019)
Fri, 1357° / 40°0.04
57 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1458° / 40°0.09
58 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1993)
Record low24° (1986)
Sun, 1557° / 42°0.16
57 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low22° (1969)
Mon, 1658° / 41°0.13
58 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low27° (1997)
Tue, 1757° / 41°0.11
57 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low25° (1997)
Wed, 1858° / 42°0.12
58 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low23° (2014)
Thu, 1958° / 42°0.11
58 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2057° / 42°0.08
57 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low24° (2022)
Sat, 2156° / 41°0.12
56 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2255° / 40°0.13
55 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2355° / 40°0.15
55 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low20° (1970)
Tue, 2456° / 40°0.16
56 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low17° (1970)
Wed, 2556° / 40°0.11
56 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low18° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lawson Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lawson Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.