Monthly outlook for Lawson Mill, TN: average high 65.1°, average low 47.6°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (77.4°), the coolest 7 November (28.6°).
65.1°/47.6°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
72.4°
64.5°
+4.4°
5 November – 14 November
52.9°
59.7°
-3.8°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
56.8°
—
October records over 66 years
95.2°3 October 2019All-time high
28.9°29 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — McMinnville (5 mi).
Tue, 2773° / 43°0
73 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.1 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 2873° / 47°0
73 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2974° / 50°0
74 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 3077° / 53°0
77 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 77°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sat, 3172° / 61°0.01
72 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 61°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0166° / 60°0.69
66 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Mon, 0273° / 57°0.01
73 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 57°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0376° / 61°0.01
76 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 61°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 0469° / 59°1.05
69 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 59°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind21.2 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 0554° / 43°0
54 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 0647° / 35°0
47 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 0746° / 29°0
46 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 0853° / 30°0
53 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 53°, low 30°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 0960° / 41°0
60 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1058° / 50°0.37
58 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.3 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1159° / 42°0.1
59 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1985)
Record low24° (2025)
Thu, 1258° / 42°0.09
58 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low22° (2019)
Fri, 1357° / 40°0.04
57 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1458° / 40°0.09
58 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1993)
Record low24° (1986)
Sun, 1557° / 42°0.16
57 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low22° (1969)
Mon, 1658° / 41°0.13
58 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low27° (1997)
Tue, 1757° / 41°0.11
57 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low25° (1997)
Wed, 1858° / 42°0.12
58 °
Lawson Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low23° (2014)
Thu, 1958° / 42°0.11
58 °
Lawson Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2057° / 42°0.08
57 °
Lawson Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low24° (2022)
Sat, 2156° / 41°0.12
56 °
Lawson Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2255° / 40°0.13
55 °
Lawson Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2010)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2355° / 40°0.15
55 °
Lawson Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low20° (1970)
Tue, 2456° / 40°0.16
56 °
Lawson Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low17° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lawson Mill, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lawson Mill, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.